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-   -   As predicted, Boris Island sunk (https://www.londonbanter.co.uk/london-transport/14025-predicted-boris-island-sunk.html)

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 01:53 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 13:40:12 +0100, Mizter T
wrote:


On 02/09/2014 07:57, Recliner wrote:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Gatwick. Eventually.


So why all the procrastination then? The reason they keep deferring
the decision is that Heathrow is the only one that makes economic
sense, but it's politically very difficult. The only safe time to
choose it is right after an election.

Neil Williams September 3rd 14 02:11 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 12:41:52 +0000, David Cantrell said:

If you lived in, for example, Hastings, which airport would you prefer
to go to? Obviously Gatwick, yet Hastings is neither near Victoria or a
Thameslink station.


There are modes of transport other than trains. Luton and Stansted are
mainly reached by car and taxi, and serve a wide area of the Home
Counties and East Anglia as such. Indeed Luton is to a fairly
significant extent a "South Midlands and Home Counties Airport" rather
than a London one.

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Neil Williams September 3rd 14 02:12 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 12:50:28 +0000, Roland Perry said:

I used to fly to Geneva a lot (on business all year round) and all they
seem to have now is one seasonal route.


Sleazy have for at least the last few years concentrated GVA on Luton
and Gatwick, because of a larger number of business travellers (there
are a lot of regulars on LTN-GVA, I was for 2 years).

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Neil Williams September 3rd 14 02:14 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 12:52:54 +0000, Roland Perry said:

I used to drive to Luton (where the parking in the mid-stay just
outside the tunnel[1], from where you can walk to the terminal) wasn't
too bad. Like you, the times of the flights ruled out using public
transport.


They like to ban you from walking from there now (the pavement on the
far side of the road is fenced off for its full length now) but I think
(fewer) people still do.

FWIW, the long term also isn't bad (it is my first choice), it's just
round the back, and its big advantage is that you can reach it from the
approach road by going the back way without queueing at the approach
road roundabout (the shuttle bus is quite good at pushing in). Though
the queues aren't half as bad as they were when they had that stupid
set of traffic lights in.

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Neil Williams September 3rd 14 02:16 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 13:06:09 +0000, Recliner said:

You might think Gatwick is full, but it's not:


Airports should not be operated to "full" - it gives them poor
contingency, a big problem with LHR. LTN is rarely hit hard by
disruption simply because it has the slack to catch up if it needs to.

If LHR's flights were cut by a third its punctuality and reliability
would skyrocket.

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


[email protected] September 3rd 14 02:22 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 3 Sep 2014 10:10:58 +0100
Roland Perry wrote:
In message , at 09:00:07 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, d remarked:
Just how exactly does a hub airport help UK plc when

most of the
passengers will be passing through on to elsewhere and will

probably
just spend a few quid in duty free?


It helps because they don't just buy a few duty-frees, they buy a whole
onward flight, with all the infrastructure and staffing which that
implies.


So some construction work and a couple of hundred airport staffing jobs plus
air fares that probably go to a foreign airline in a foreign bank. Well
obviously thats really worth all the pollution , noise and a few billion
quid of taxpayers money.

--
Spud



[email protected] September 3rd 14 02:24 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 13:13:20 +0100
David Cantrell wrote:
On Tue, Sep 02, 2014 at 04:00:52PM +0000, d wrote:
If we see air travel as a necessity, even if that is an evil necessity,

Do we?


Yes. Taking society as a whole, yes we do. That you personally don't
isn't of any importance.


So you think if a survey was done asking whether air travel was a necessity
like food or water or public transport you think most people would answer
yes?

Really?

--
Spud



[email protected] September 3rd 14 02:25 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 14:00:47 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 09:00:25 GMT, d wrote:

On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 19:50:36 -0500
Recliner wrote:
wrote:



The CBI is a private political lobbying organisation that represents a

small
fraction of businesses in this country.

Got a proper example?

Perhaps the Royal Company of Self-Employed Contract Programmers Who Don't
Fly Very Often has a view?


That'll be a no then.


It'll be a no to answering your repeated silly questions.


When you don't have an answer its usually best not to say anything rather
than dig the hole even deeper. Your spade must be wearing out by now.

--
Spud


Mizter T September 3rd 14 02:27 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 03/09/2014 14:53, Recliner wrote:

On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 13:40:12 +0100, Mizter T
wrote:

On 02/09/2014 07:57, Recliner wrote:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Gatwick. Eventually.


So why all the procrastination then? The reason they keep deferring
the decision is that Heathrow is the only one that makes economic
sense, but it's politically very difficult. The only safe time to
choose it is right after an election.


It's political dynamite! The parties policies on the airports question
going into the general election could be interesting - that said, they
might well just say 'we'll follow the recommendations of the Airports
Commission', when said recommendations (when they arrive) aren't likely
to offer such an easy get out of jail free card. Individual candidates
might do their own thing anyway.

My reckoning is that Heathrow expansion will ultimately just be too
politically toxic a path to take (remember the widespread pre-2010
opposition).

If a decision was made to expand Heathrow, I wouldn't necessarily
consider that the end of the story.

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 02:37 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 13:58:17 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014,
Mizter T remarked:
don't forget they just decided to cut
the last two trains to London in the evening.

I guess you're referring to the 0100 and 0130 trains which only ran on
Friday and Saturday mornings, rather than throughout the week.


The announcement just said "the current 0100 and 0130 services", no
mentions of days of the week.


They only ever ran on Friday and Saturday mornings. Thus the
announcement is not inaccurate.


But apparently a bit misleading. Why would they deliberately put out an
announcement that made things seems worse than they really are?
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 02:44 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 14:01:06 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014,
Mizter T remarked:
How many destinations outside Europe? (OK, I see there's a flight to Las
Vegas planned for next year).


Just because most destinations are in Europe doesn't equate to the
airport serving "very limited destinations"


It does, because many people have destinations outside Europe. It
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other fliers
try Heathrow", then fine.

- that would mean just a few destinations, and there are in fact many.


I wonder how many are served the twice a day needed to make useful
business trips (out in the morning, back in the evening a day or two
later). I suspect (but don't have the time to check) that many
destinations are less than daily.
--
Roland Perry

Mizter T September 3rd 14 02:45 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

On 03/09/2014 15:11, Neil Williams wrote:

On 2014-09-03 12:41:52 +0000, David Cantrell said:

If you lived in, for example, Hastings, which airport would you prefer
to go to? Obviously Gatwick, yet Hastings is neither near Victoria or a
Thameslink station.


There are modes of transport other than trains. Luton and Stansted are
mainly reached by car and taxi, and serve a wide area of the Home
Counties and East Anglia as such. Indeed Luton is to a fairly
significant extent a "South Midlands and Home Counties Airport" rather
than a London one.


Incorrect for Stansted, which had 51% of pax using public transport
(bus, coach and rail) in 2013 - see page 23:
http://www.stanstedairport.com/media/1220647/sustainable-development-plan-surface-access-online-lr-20.08.14.pdf

Luton meanwhile had 32% of pax using public transport in 2010 - page 21,
PDF page 11:
http://www.london-luton.co.uk/en/download/179/Airport%20Surface%20Access%20Strategy.pdf

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 02:49 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 14:22:01 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, d remarked:
Just how exactly does a hub airport help UK plc when


most of the


passengers will be passing through on to elsewhere and will


probably


just spend a few quid in duty free?




It helps because they don't just buy a few duty-frees, they buy a whole


onward flight, with all the infrastructure and staffing which that


implies.




So some construction work and a couple of hundred airport staffing jobs plus


air fares that probably go to a foreign airline in a foreign bank. Well


obviously thats really worth all the pollution , noise and a few billion


quid of taxpayers money.



You still don't get it do you? Infrastructure needs to be *operated* as
well as built. Planes need servicing, fuelling, crewing and so on.
Without transit passengers, the number of flights at Heathrow (and thus
the revenue generated for the area) would be down by around a third. So
that's a third of both the direct and indirect workforce laid off.
--
Roland Perry

Neil Williams September 3rd 14 02:52 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 14:44:46 +0000, Roland Perry said:

It does, because many people have destinations outside Europe. It
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other fliers
try Heathrow", then fine.


Stansted already is an airport you go to if you want a LCC to Europe,
and it has a massive array of such services. So I disagree with you.

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Mizter T September 3rd 14 03:02 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

On 03/09/2014 15:44, Roland Perry wrote:

In message , at 14:01:06 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014,
Mizter T remarked:
How many destinations outside Europe? (OK, I see there's a flight to Las
Vegas planned for next year).


Just because most destinations are in Europe doesn't equate to the
airport serving "very limited destinations"


It does, because many people have destinations outside Europe. It
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other fliers
try Heathrow", then fine.


The man on the Clapham Omnibus would not regard Stansted as serving a
"very limited" range of destinations, nor would a court. The Roland
Perry interpretation of language thus doesn't stand up.


- that would mean just a few destinations, and there are in fact many.


I wonder how many are served the twice a day needed to make useful
business trips (out in the morning, back in the evening a day or two
later). I suspect (but don't have the time to check) that many
destinations are less than daily.


Two recent articles about Ryanair increasing frequencies on key business
routes, many from Stansted:

http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/analysis-business-drives-ryanair39s-uk-domestic-401054/

http://www.routesonline.com/news/29/breaking-news/240503/ryanair-delivers-on-stansted-growth-promise/

Mizter T September 3rd 14 03:04 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

On 03/09/2014 15:52, Neil Williams wrote:

On 2014-09-03 14:44:46 +0000, Roland Perry said:

It does, because many people have destinations outside Europe. It
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other
fliers try Heathrow", then fine.


Stansted already is an airport you go to if you want a LCC to Europe,
and it has a massive array of such services. So I disagree with you.


On that theme, a significant number of pax from around Europe use it for
DIY transfers.

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 03:10 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 15:52:57 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, Neil Williams remarked:

It does, because many people have destinations outside Europe. It
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other
fliers try Heathrow", then fine.


Stansted already is an airport you go to if you want a LCC to Europe,
and it has a massive array of such services. So I disagree with you.


Are you saying that the branding I mentioned is already what the general
public understands to be the case?
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 03:13 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 16:02:21 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014,
Mizter T remarked:
Stansted wants to re-brand as "The gateway to Europe - all other fliers
try Heathrow", then fine.


The man on the Clapham Omnibus would not regard Stansted as serving a
"very limited" range of destinations, nor would a court. The Roland
Perry interpretation of language thus doesn't stand up.


It's limited to *some* destinations, almost exclusively in *Europe*.
(And not necessarily daily)

There are many places *in* Europe and even more *outside* Europe which
make it a very long way from being a general purpose airport like
Heathrow or Gatwick, or even Birmingham and Manchester.
--
Roland Perry

Neil Williams September 3rd 14 03:22 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 15:10:56 +0000, Roland Perry said:

Are you saying that the branding I mentioned is already what the
general public understands to be the case?


Branding by the airport? Probably not. But it is certainly well
understood that, essentially, you go to Stansted to fly Ryanair (or to
a much lesser extent easyJet) to Europe.

It isnt *branded* as anything other than London Stansted Airport, which
says nothing about where you can fly from there.

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 03:49 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 3 Sep 2014 15:49:09 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 14:22:01 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, d remarked:
Just how exactly does a hub airport help UK plc when


most of the


passengers will be passing through on to elsewhere and will


probably


just spend a few quid in duty free?




It helps because they don't just buy a few duty-frees, they buy a whole


onward flight, with all the infrastructure and staffing which that


implies.




So some construction work and a couple of hundred airport staffing jobs plus


air fares that probably go to a foreign airline in a foreign bank. Well


obviously thats really worth all the pollution , noise and a few billion


quid of taxpayers money.



You still don't get it do you? Infrastructure needs to be *operated* as
well as built. Planes need servicing, fuelling, crewing and so on.
Without transit passengers, the number of flights at Heathrow (and thus
the revenue generated for the area) would be down by around a third. So
that's a third of both the direct and indirect workforce laid off.


I think we know that Boltar doesn't get the concept of a hub airport.
He asks the same questions every time it comes up, but never reads the
answers. And unlike Mr Bell, he's rude with it.

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 03:51 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 15:27:41 +0100, Mizter T
wrote:

On 03/09/2014 14:53, Recliner wrote:

On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 13:40:12 +0100, Mizter T
wrote:

On 02/09/2014 07:57, Recliner wrote:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Gatwick. Eventually.


So why all the procrastination then? The reason they keep deferring
the decision is that Heathrow is the only one that makes economic
sense, but it's politically very difficult. The only safe time to
choose it is right after an election.


It's political dynamite! The parties policies on the airports question
going into the general election could be interesting - that said, they
might well just say 'we'll follow the recommendations of the Airports
Commission', when said recommendations (when they arrive) aren't likely
to offer such an easy get out of jail free card. Individual candidates
might do their own thing anyway.

My reckoning is that Heathrow expansion will ultimately just be too
politically toxic a path to take (remember the widespread pre-2010
opposition).

If a decision was made to expand Heathrow, I wouldn't necessarily
consider that the end of the story.


Ah well, assuming that the Scots don't vote for independence in a
couple of weeks, that will probably be the big political debate next
summer. In the meantime, I notice Gatwick have a lot of ads and
posters up, pushing its case.

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 04:07 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 3 Sep 2014 15:16:16 +0100, Neil Williams
wrote:

On 2014-09-03 13:06:09 +0000, Recliner said:

You might think Gatwick is full, but it's not:


Airports should not be operated to "full" - it gives them poor
contingency, a big problem with LHR. LTN is rarely hit hard by
disruption simply because it has the slack to catch up if it needs to.

If LHR's flights were cut by a third its punctuality and reliability
would skyrocket.


Yes, that's certainly true. The same would be true if it had another
runway.

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 04:09 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 14:25:11 GMT, d wrote:

On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 14:00:47 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 09:00:25 GMT,
d wrote:

On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 19:50:36 -0500
Recliner wrote:
wrote:



The CBI is a private political lobbying organisation that represents a

small
fraction of businesses in this country.

Got a proper example?

Perhaps the Royal Company of Self-Employed Contract Programmers Who Don't
Fly Very Often has a view?

That'll be a no then.


It'll be a no to answering your repeated silly questions.


When you don't have an answer its usually best not to say anything rather
than dig the hole even deeper. Your spade must be wearing out by now.


I can't be bothered repeatedly answering your questions on this topic.
We know you're afraid of flying and resent others doing what you
can't, and nothing anyone says changes that.

Neil Williams September 3rd 14 04:48 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 2014-09-03 16:07:35 +0000, Recliner said:

Yes, that's certainly true. The same would be true if it had another
runway.


Also true - but will it just end up as full?

Neil
--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the @ to reply.


Arthur Figgis September 3rd 14 05:01 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 02/09/2014 21:04, Roland Perry wrote:
In message , at
19:33:48 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Arthur Figgis
remarked:
One of life's big ironies a few years back was a Which? report slagging
off foreign airports that falsely claimed to be close to well known
cities. In the same issue they gave "London Stansted" a ringing
endorsement, despite being further from its eponymous city than any of
the foreign airports they were complaining about.


To a certain extent, distance is less important than transport links.

A distant airport with a fast and easy-to-use train to the city centre
every 30 min, perhaps even a mainline connection to anywhere in the
country, is less of an issue than a edge-of-town airport with a
solitary bus...


Stansted is OK southbound to London,


And as it isn't calling itself "(somewhere that isn't London) Stansted",
there isn't really a problem in the case under discussion.

Bremen airport sucks if you are hoping to get a tram from the front door
to somewhere that isn't Bremen, but of you actually want Bremen then
it's great.

--
Arthur Figgis Surrey, UK

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 05:02 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Wed, 3 Sep 2014 17:48:11 +0100, Neil Williams
wrote:

On 2014-09-03 16:07:35 +0000, Recliner said:

Yes, that's certainly true. The same would be true if it had another
runway.


Also true - but will it just end up as full?


Given half a chance, it probably would. I think part of a possible
deal for a third runway is that they don't normally run at more than,
say, 90% capacity, rather than the current 99%.

Arthur Figgis September 3rd 14 05:06 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 03/09/2014 00:23, Recliner wrote:

I
live in West London, and Heathrow is far more convenient than any other
airport.


I live in south London, and...
A friend lives in a village near Luton, and...
Another friend lives near a stop for the direct bus to Leeds-Bradford,
and...

--
Arthur Figgis Surrey, UK

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 06:13 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 16:22:06 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, Neil Williams remarked:
Are you saying that the branding I mentioned is already what the
general public understands to be the case?


Branding by the airport? Probably not. But it is certainly well
understood that, essentially, you go to Stansted to fly Ryanair (or to
a much lesser extent easyJet) to Europe.


It's certainly been increasingly dominated by Ryanair, who no doubt make
lots of money flying people back and forth to one horse towns in Eastern
Europe.

But this doesn't make it a useful set of routes for most of us, nor the
airline we'd choose to use on business (they aren't the only one, people
using holiday charters could run into the same problem).

It isnt *branded* as anything other than London Stansted Airport, which
says nothing about where you can fly from there.


Branding extends to much more than the name.
--
Roland Perry

tim..... September 3rd 14 07:10 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

"Recliner" wrote in message
...
"tim....." wrote:
"Recliner" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message
,
at 02:36:55 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm
very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing
shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive
builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new
runway".

By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen?

Lots of local opposition, and much more expensive.

True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


That's because they've all bought into the fiction that it will mean
there is space for daily flights to Ulan Bator (insert list of other out
of the way places that only 3 people a week want to travel to) thus
increasing the trade that we do with um, Mongolia.

Frankfurt already has direct flights to Ulaanbaatar. If there's enough
business to justify flights from London, why shouldn't they be offered?
If
not, they obviously won't be. The point is that the market should decide,
without artificial restraints.


But IMHO the extra capacity wont be used this way. It'll be used to
increase the number of flights a day to NYC from 30 to 60 to no-ones
benefit except BA/AA/Etc

That's your fantasy, not what the market is telling us. If there was a
market for a lot more NYC flights,


like this you mean:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html




Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 07:36 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
"tim....." wrote:
"Recliner" wrote in message
...
"tim....." wrote:
"Recliner" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message
,
at 02:36:55 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new
runway".

By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen?

Lots of local opposition, and much more expensive.

True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.

That's because they've all bought into the fiction that it will mean
there is space for daily flights to Ulan Bator (insert list of other out
of the way places that only 3 people a week want to travel to) thus
increasing the trade that we do with um, Mongolia.

Frankfurt already has direct flights to Ulaanbaatar. If there's enough
business to justify flights from London, why shouldn't they be offered? If
not, they obviously won't be. The point is that the market should decide,
without artificial restraints.


But IMHO the extra capacity wont be used this way. It'll be used to
increase the number of flights a day to NYC from 30 to 60 to no-ones
benefit except BA/AA/Etc

That's your fantasy, not what the market is telling us. If there was a
market for a lot more NYC flights,


like this you mean:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html


Interesting, I hadn't seen that.mi suppose it reflects Virgin's change if
ownership, with Singapore's 49% being sold to Delta, which is using Virgin
almost as an offshoot. I imagine it can feed a lot more of its frequent
fliers from the US on to Virgin's transatlantic routes than it could the
routes to Asia and Africa. But it's still sad to see Virgin pulling back
from its world network (having dropped it's hard fought-for Sydney route a
while ago).

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 07:46 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message

, at 14:36:43 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014, Recliner

remarked:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html


Interesting, I hadn't seen that.mi suppose it reflects Virgin's change if
ownership, with Singapore's 49% being sold to Delta, which is using Virgin
almost as an offshoot. I imagine it can feed a lot more of its frequent
fliers from the US on to Virgin's transatlantic routes than it could the
routes to Asia and Africa. But it's still sad to see Virgin pulling back
from its world network (having dropped it's hard fought-for Sydney route a
while ago).


Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less for
the same.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 08:19 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at 14:36:43 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html


Interesting, I hadn't seen that.mi suppose it reflects Virgin's change if
ownership, with Singapore's 49% being sold to Delta, which is using Virgin
almost as an offshoot. I imagine it can feed a lot more of its frequent
fliers from the US on to Virgin's transatlantic routes than it could the
routes to Asia and Africa. But it's still sad to see Virgin pulling back
from its world network (having dropped it's hard fought-for Sydney route a
while ago).


Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less for the same.


Not quite the same: Virgin Atlantic is still 51% owned by Branson, whereas
he owns very little of Virgin Media which, as you say, is really just a
rebranded NTL. Delta, like Singapore Airlines, wouldn't be allowed to buy a
majority share of Virgin Atlantic. I think it also can't be seen to control
an EU airline, just as Branson had to fight hard to prove he didn't control
Virgin America. Protectionism is alive and well in the airline industry.

SQ never really integrated with Virgin Atlantic, and seemed to treat it
more as an arms length investment rather than an associate (they didn't
even share lounges at Heathrow, nor combine fleet orders). Branson was
always closely associated with VS's management, which he's never been with
Virgin Media, where he just appears in some of the ads. SQ eventually
decided to put its investment up for sale, and when the change did happen,
it didn't affect Virgin's operations as there was minimal integration. SQ
made a loss on the sale, and probably wished it had never made the
investment.

It looks like Virgin, like other European airlines, has been hit hard by
the Middle East Big Three airlines, making some of its long haul Asian,
Australian and African routes unprofitable. It seems to be returning to its
roots (and name), to concentrate on its US routes (where it doesn't have to
compete with Emirates, etc), particularly to Skyteam hubs. I guess VS will
soon join Skyteam, whereas it never joined Star during its many SQ years.

tim..... September 3rd 14 08:22 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

"Roland Perry" wrote in message
...
In message

, at 14:36:43 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014, Recliner

remarked:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html


Interesting, I hadn't seen that.mi suppose it reflects Virgin's change if
ownership, with Singapore's 49% being sold to Delta, which is using Virgin
almost as an offshoot. I imagine it can feed a lot more of its frequent
fliers from the US on to Virgin's transatlantic routes than it could the
routes to Asia and Africa. But it's still sad to see Virgin pulling back
from its world network (having dropped it's hard fought-for Sydney route a
while ago).


Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less for
the same.


I don't care

But what I do care about is that it helps to prove my prove my point, that
if you have all of the infrastructure required to operate extra flights to
the US, in competition with 6 other airlines, or to obscure parts of the Far
East competing with no-one ...

the extra flights to the US win hands down.

(The fact that the parts of the Far East Virgin have pulled out from aren't
actually obscure, is even more compelling IMV)

I hear Recliner's point that there is obviously extra demand from airlines
to fly these flights from LHR and that if they were allowed to do so the
costs of the expansion would be paid for easily.

But what I don't buy, is all is nonsense that the extra runway will help the
general economy by providing frequent flights (and hence possibilities of
new trade) to (/from) dozens of new (new world) locations - cos it wont.

tim



Roland Perry September 3rd 14 08:27 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message

, at 15:19:19 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014, Recliner

remarked:

Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less for the same.


Not quite the same


I'm quite sure it's much more "the same" than the picture you paint
(that picture being what they want us to believe).
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 3rd 14 08:32 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 21:22:23 on Wed, 3 Sep
2014, tim..... remarked:

Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less
for the same.


I don't care

But what I do care about is that it helps to prove my prove my point,
that if you have all of the infrastructure required to operate extra
flights to the US, in competition with 6 other airlines, or to obscure
parts of the Far East competing with no-one ...


Except I do agree with Recliner that there's been massive new
competition on the Far East routes, and as well as Singapore throwing in
the towel from that direction, the new buyer is clearly interested in
feeding more customers to its own domestic routes.

the extra flights to the US win hands down.

(The fact that the parts of the Far East Virgin have pulled out from
aren't actually obscure, is even more compelling IMV)

I hear Recliner's point that there is obviously extra demand from
airlines to fly these flights from LHR and that if they were allowed to
do so the costs of the expansion would be paid for easily.

But what I don't buy, is all is nonsense that the extra runway will
help the general economy by providing frequent flights (and hence
possibilities of new trade) to (/from) dozens of new (new world)
locations - cos it wont.


It already is, so the only effect of a new runway will be "more of the
same", rather than "stuck at the current amount".

On the other hand, if Gatwick gets the runway, expect Heathrow flights
that don't generate transit (aka hubbing) passengers to be displaced by
ones which do. The result being that Heathrow will become even more
hub-orientated, even if the number of flights a day remains the same.
--
Roland Perry

[email protected] September 3rd 14 08:42 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In article , (Mizter T) wrote:

On 03/09/2014 13:50, Roland Perry wrote:
[...]
Gatwick is as convenient to get to and from as Heathrow for us in
Cambridge.

But presumably Stansted is far better than either?

Yes, but with very limited destinations. Almost nothing outside
Europe. And even then, the last two European trips booked by household
members used different airports (in particular Gatwick for one on
account of route availability). And of course Stansted is famously no
good for the USA, although during the short periods when that
continent was available, we did use it.

I wouldn't say the destinations reachable from Stansted were "very
limited"...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_...port#Passenger

How many destinations outside Europe? (OK, I see there's a flight to Las
Vegas planned for next year).


Just because most destinations are in Europe doesn't equate to the
airport serving "very limited destinations" - that would mean just a
few destinations, and there are in fact many.


It's some time since I found they had flights to somewhere I was actually
trying to fly to.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

[email protected] September 3rd 14 08:42 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In article , (Roland Perry)
wrote:

In message , at
04:38:40 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014,
remarked:
Gatwick is as convenient to get to and from as Heathrow for us in
Cambridge.

And Birmingham even more convenient (by road anyway, it probably ties
with Gatwick or Heathrow by train from Ely, except at unsocial hours
when the train services deteriorate).


Rail access to Birmingham airport from Cambridge is much worse


It's not "much" worse, most of the day. I know that the Journey
Planners add a pessimistic connection time at Kings Cross, but the
headline figures are identical from Ely (not everyone lives in
Cambridge, you know!) For all I know the connection times at New
Street have similar pessimisms built in.


The trouble is that you are stuck with such idiocies when booking advance
tickets. And Cambridge is over 6 times the size of Ely, by the way.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

[email protected] September 3rd 14 08:42 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In article ,
(Neil Williams) wrote:

On 2014-09-03 12:41:52 +0000, David Cantrell said:

If you lived in, for example, Hastings, which airport would you prefer
to go to? Obviously Gatwick, yet Hastings is neither near Victoria or a
Thameslink station.


There are modes of transport other than trains. Luton and Stansted
are mainly reached by car and taxi, and serve a wide area of the Home
Counties and East Anglia as such. Indeed Luton is to a fairly
significant extent a "South Midlands and Home Counties Airport"
rather than a London one.


It's not a convenient airport to reach from Cambridge. It might be if there
was better public transport between there and Hitchin.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

[email protected] September 3rd 14 08:42 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In article , (Mizter T) wrote:

*Subject:* As predicted, Boris Island sunk
*From:* Mizter T
*Date:* Wed, 03 Sep 2014 15:27:41 +0100

On 03/09/2014 14:53, Recliner wrote:

On Wed, 03 Sep 2014 13:40:12 +0100, Mizter T
wrote:

On 02/09/2014 07:57, Recliner wrote:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport

expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the

list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow

expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow,

but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the

election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Gatwick. Eventually.


So why all the procrastination then? The reason they keep deferring
the decision is that Heathrow is the only one that makes economic
sense, but it's politically very difficult. The only safe time to
choose it is right after an election.


It's political dynamite! The parties policies on the airports
question going into the general election could be interesting - that
said, they might well just say 'we'll follow the recommendations of
the Airports Commission', when said recommendations (when they
arrive) aren't likely to offer such an easy get out of jail free
card. Individual candidates might do their own thing anyway.

My reckoning is that Heathrow expansion will ultimately just be too
politically toxic a path to take (remember the widespread pre-2010
opposition).

If a decision was made to expand Heathrow, I wouldn't necessarily
consider that the end of the story.


A bit like student tuition fees then? Kicked into the long grass by the
Labour government with a muddled implementation by the coalition.

I reckon a Labour government would expand Heathrow because they don't have
enough marginal seats at stake. The Tories have some big troublemakers if
they try to do the same. Didn't Zac Goldsmith (Richmond Park) threaten to
resign and cause a byelection? And Justine Greening (Putney) blocked it
while Transport Secretary and got moved for her pains.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Recliner[_2_] September 3rd 14 08:51 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
"tim....." wrote:
"Roland Perry" wrote in message ...
In message
, at 14:36:43 on Wed, 3 Sep 2014, Recliner

remarked:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...cus-on-US.html

Interesting, I hadn't seen that.mi suppose it reflects Virgin's change if
ownership, with Singapore's 49% being sold to Delta, which is using Virgin
almost as an offshoot. I imagine it can feed a lot more of its frequent
fliers from the US on to Virgin's transatlantic routes than it could the
routes to Asia and Africa. But it's still sad to see Virgin pulling back
from its world network (having dropped it's hard fought-for Sydney route a
while ago).


Doesn't this simply show that "Virgin" airlines is just Delta (was
Singapore Airlines) with a subsidiary that happens to pay a lot for an
iconic branding. Just like Virgin Media is NTL paying slightly less for the same.


I don't care

But what I do care about is that it helps to prove my prove my point,
that if you have all of the infrastructure required to operate extra
flights to the US, in competition with 6 other airlines, or to obscure
parts of the Far East competing with no-one ...

the extra flights to the US win hands down.

(The fact that the parts of the Far East Virgin have pulled out from
aren't actually obscure, is even more compelling IMV)


I think Virgin lost out to the ME3 on flights to places like Bombay, Cape
Town and Sydney; flights to Delta hubs in the US will be more profitable.
Even BA has pulled all of its Australian routes other than to Sydney, and
Qantas has had to switch its alliance on the Kangaroo route to Emirates.


I hear Recliner's point that there is obviously extra demand from
airlines to fly these flights from LHR and that if they were allowed to
do so the costs of the expansion would be paid for easily.

But what I don't buy, is all is nonsense that the extra runway will help
the general economy by providing frequent flights (and hence
possibilities of new trade) to (/from) dozens of new (new world) locations - cos it wont.

There will be flights to more Asian and maybe South American destinations,
but the first-time new routes take a while to build up large enough loads
to be profitable. Additional flights to the big US hubs can be profitable
much quicker.

For example, BA now has direct flights to Chengdu in China, but I gather
that load factors are lower than the new Austin route. BA probably won't
add additional Chinese cities until Chengdu is in the black. But it
probably wouldn't have added it at all if it hadn't got the bmi slots.


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