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-   -   As predicted, Boris Island sunk (https://www.londonbanter.co.uk/london-transport/14025-predicted-boris-island-sunk.html)

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 06:57 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 07:20 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message

, at 01:57:03 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new
runway". Doesn't the plan to redevelop the railway station there almost
take that outcome for granted?
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 07:36 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at 01:57:03 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
To no-ones's surprise, Boris Island hasn't made the airport expansion short
list. Indeed, it's only pressure from Boris that left it on the list for so
long at all. So what remains are three options, two for Heathrow expansion,
and one for Gatwick. The business vote strongly favours Heathrow, but
Gatwick is easier politically. The decision is due after the election, and
I wonder which will win?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29026484


Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new runway".


By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen? All the logic favours a
third Heathrow runway as first choice, with a second Gatwick runway the
next expansion option a few years later.

Doesn't the plan to redevelop the railway station there almost take that
outcome for granted?


I don't know the details, but if the new runway and terminals are well to
the south of the existing railway station, wouldn't the station need to be
moved as well as expanded? There would almost certainly need to be a new,
fast, direct rail link between the airports as well, if they're to share
the hub airport role.

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 09:22 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message
,
at 02:36:55 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new runway".


By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen?


Lots of local opposition, and much more expensive.

All the logic favours a
third Heathrow runway as first choice, with a second Gatwick runway the
next expansion option a few years later.

Doesn't the plan to redevelop the railway station there almost take that
outcome for granted?


I don't know the details, but if the new runway and terminals are well to
the south of the existing railway station,


The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).

wouldn't the station need to be moved as well as expanded?


No.

There would almost certainly need to be a new, fast, direct rail link
between the airports as well, if they're to share the hub airport role.


No. The proposal is to keep the most valuable "hub" flights at Heathrow
and move the more point-to-point ones to Gatwick.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 09:44 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message
,
at 02:36:55 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new runway".


By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen?


Lots of local opposition, and much more expensive.


True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


All the logic favours a
third Heathrow runway as first choice, with a second Gatwick runway the
next expansion option a few years later.

Doesn't the plan to redevelop the railway station there almost take that
outcome for granted?


I don't know the details, but if the new runway and terminals are well to
the south of the existing railway station,


The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).


If it's the other side of the existing runway, it'll be a lot further
from the current south terminal than the north terminal is.

wouldn't the station need to be moved as well as expanded?


No.

There would almost certainly need to be a new, fast, direct rail link
between the airports as well, if they're to share the hub airport role.


No. The proposal is to keep the most valuable "hub" flights at Heathrow
and move the more point-to-point ones to Gatwick.


But how do you decide that the point-to-point flights don't support
the hub flights?

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 09:50 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 10:44:46 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).


If it's the other side of the existing runway, it'll be a lot further
from the current south terminal than the north terminal is.


No it won't. The new terminal will be quite thin and east-west between
the runways.

wouldn't the station need to be moved as well as expanded?


No.

There would almost certainly need to be a new, fast, direct rail link
between the airports as well, if they're to share the hub airport role.


No. The proposal is to keep the most valuable "hub" flights at Heathrow
and move the more point-to-point ones to Gatwick.


But how do you decide that the point-to-point flights don't support
the hub flights?


Because you have access to the information about who is taking which
flight, and hence which pairs of flights have the most people
transiting.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 10:18 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:50:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 10:44:46 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).


If it's the other side of the existing runway, it'll be a lot further
from the current south terminal than the north terminal is.


No it won't. The new terminal will be quite thin and east-west between
the runways.


So, roughly slightly south of where the A23 runs today? In fact, it
would be about where the original Gatwick terminal was (the Beehive).

wouldn't the station need to be moved as well as expanded?

No.

There would almost certainly need to be a new, fast, direct rail link
between the airports as well, if they're to share the hub airport role.

No. The proposal is to keep the most valuable "hub" flights at Heathrow
and move the more point-to-point ones to Gatwick.


But how do you decide that the point-to-point flights don't support
the hub flights?


Because you have access to the information about who is taking which
flight, and hence which pairs of flights have the most people
transiting.


That would imply a move forced on reluctant airlines, who would no
doubt sue to keep their much more valuable Heathrow slots. I can't
imagine a single airline would want to move a single flight from
Heathrow to Gatwick without massive compensation.

[email protected] September 2nd 14 10:40 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 02:36:55 -0500
Recliner wrote:
Roland Perry wrote:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new runway".


By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen? All the logic favours a
third Heathrow runway as first choice, with a second Gatwick runway the
next expansion option a few years later.


Logic actually favours no expansion at all. The much quoted hub airport
will do nothing for UK Plc other than put more money into the pockets of
the airport owners and will be an enviromental disaster wherever its located.
But of course as soon as someone says this you get the usual vested
interests shouting them down saying they're anti business and banging on
about "growth". As if a constant increase in GDP is all that makes a pleasant
country to live in.

--
Spud


[email protected] September 2nd 14 10:41 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 10:44:46 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


Which "entire business community" would this be then? Give some examples.

--
Spud



Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 10:44 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 10:41:33 GMT, d wrote:

On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 10:44:46 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


Which "entire business community" would this be then? Give some examples.


http://www.theguardian.com/business/...port-expansion

Someone Somewhere September 2nd 14 10:50 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 02/09/2014 11:40, d wrote:
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 02:36:55 -0500
Recliner wrote:
Roland Perry wrote:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds), I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new runway".


By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen? All the logic favours a
third Heathrow runway as first choice, with a second Gatwick runway the
next expansion option a few years later.


Logic actually favours no expansion at all.

By this you mean your logic or the logic you're minded to believe in?

The much quoted hub airport
will do nothing for UK Plc other than put more money into the pockets of
the airport owners and will be an enviromental disaster wherever its located.

The hub part is one argument, but it can clearly be argued that
expansion to even handle the current number of flights is necessary to
prevent stacking or horrendous problems caused by the smallest of issues
due to lack of over-capacity.

I await the response that if you build more capacity it will fill up,
and you hear the same argument about road building. Strangely, it's
rarely used when it comes to railways. But in any case if people feel
so strongly about such things they should examine their overall
travelling habits - but then they couldn't have their big house in the
leafy suburbs....

I'd also argue that the word "disaster" is hyperbole in this case
-unless of course any large infrastructure project comes under the same
heading.

If we see air travel as a necessity, even if that is an evil necessity,
then logic would dictate that you need a single airport that is easy
and quick to get to from all parts of the area it serves to use the
capacity as efficiently as possible - I haven't looked at the schedules
but I can well believe every London airport has several flights a day to
particular european destinations that could easily be consolidated into
less "movements" in larger, more efficient, planes if that were the case.


Roland Perry September 2nd 14 10:51 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 11:18:08 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:50:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 10:44:46 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).

If it's the other side of the existing runway, it'll be a lot further
from the current south terminal than the north terminal is.


No it won't. The new terminal will be quite thin and east-west between
the runways.


So, roughly slightly south of where the A23 runs today?


North is the impression I get from this pictu

http://www.gatwickobviously.com/debate

The proposal is to keep the most valuable "hub" flights at Heathrow
and move the more point-to-point ones to Gatwick.

But how do you decide that the point-to-point flights don't support
the hub flights?


Because you have access to the information about who is taking which
flight, and hence which pairs of flights have the most people
transiting.


That would imply a move forced on reluctant airlines, who would no
doubt sue to keep their much more valuable Heathrow slots. I can't
imagine a single airline would want to move a single flight from
Heathrow to Gatwick without massive compensation.


I'm not suggesting they'll cancel existing slots, but new ones will only
be available at Gatwick. The airlines will have to decide where to
juggle their flights.
--
Roland Perry

Robin[_4_] September 2nd 14 11:01 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
Logic actually favours no expansion at all. The much quoted hub
airport
will do nothing for UK Plc other than put more money into the pockets
of
the airport owners and will be an enviromental disaster wherever its
located. But of course as soon as someone says this you get the usual
vested interests shouting them down saying they're anti business and
banging on about "growth".


So all those other countries/cities[1] which have developed 4-runway[2]
airports are stupid?

As if a constant increase in GDP is all
that makes a pleasant country to live in.


Could luck campaiging for votes on a manifesto of "let's stand still and
let the rest of the world get richer". You might be happy with the
prospect of the same per capita GDP (PPP) as, say, the average African
has currently but I doubt many others would.

[1] eg Paris, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, Tokyo, Madrid,
[2] in some cases more

--
Robin
reply to address is (meant to be) valid



Roland Perry September 2nd 14 11:08 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 11:50:51 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, Someone Somewhere remarked:
I haven't looked at the schedules but I can well believe every London
airport has several flights a day to particular european destinations
that could easily be consolidated into less "movements" in larger, more
efficient, planes if that were the case.


Heathrow/Gatwick don't have flights to very many European destinations.
That market is dominated by low-cost airlines from other airports.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 11:16 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 11:51:11 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 11:18:08 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:50:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 10:44:46 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
The new terminal will be between the old and new runways, no further
from the station than the current North Terminal (with its shuttle
train).

If it's the other side of the existing runway, it'll be a lot further
from the current south terminal than the north terminal is.

No it won't. The new terminal will be quite thin and east-west between
the runways.


So, roughly slightly south of where the A23 runs today?


North is the impression I get from this pictu

http://www.gatwickobviously.com/debate


That looks like it's just about on the position of the current A23. It
shows the new terminal building as being, as one would expect, about
as far south of the current runway as the current main terminal is
north of it. It's quite a distance from the current railway station,
much further than the North terminal.

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 11:22 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 12:08:00 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 11:50:51 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, Someone Somewhere remarked:
I haven't looked at the schedules but I can well believe every London
airport has several flights a day to particular european destinations
that could easily be consolidated into less "movements" in larger, more
efficient, planes if that were the case.


Heathrow/Gatwick don't have flights to very many European destinations.
That market is dominated by low-cost airlines from other airports.


That's certainly true of the holiday resorts, but the major European
cities tend to have flights to Heathrow and Gatwick.

Also, don't forget that easyJet is now Gatwick's major airline, thus
reinforcing its position as being much less of a business airport than
Heathrow. Indeed, BA, which dominated the North terminal when it first
opened, will soon be squeezed out of that terminal, into the older
South terminal.

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 11:27 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 12:16:52 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
North is the impression I get from this pictu

http://www.gatwickobviously.com/debate


That looks like it's just about on the position of the current A23. It
shows the new terminal building as being, as one would expect, about
as far south of the current runway as the current main terminal is
north of it. It's quite a distance from the current railway station,
much further than the North terminal.


The current main terminal is alongside the station!

http://goo.gl/maps/ohZXO

And if you draw another arc mirroring the shuttle to the north terminal
(you aren't getting confused by the satellite I hope) it'll end up
exactly where the new terminal is pictured, just south of the eastern
end of the existing runway.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 11:43 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 12:22:10 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
I haven't looked at the schedules but I can well believe every London
airport has several flights a day to particular european destinations
that could easily be consolidated into less "movements" in larger, more
efficient, planes if that were the case.


Heathrow/Gatwick don't have flights to very many European destinations.
That market is dominated by low-cost airlines from other airports.


That's certainly true of the holiday resorts, but the major European
cities tend to have flights to Heathrow and Gatwick.


That's not many cities though, and we know that flights to Brussels and
Paris are much reduced on account of Eurostar.

If we take the next most significant capital, Berlin, there are just ten
flights a day from Heathrow (seven by BA, three Germanwings) and three
from Gatwick (all Easyjet).

Frankfurt has a few more from Heathrow, but none from Gatwick.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 11:47 AM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 12:22:10 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:

BA, which dominated the North terminal when it first opened, will soon
be squeezed out of that terminal, into the older South terminal.


Which they must have inherited from the British Caledonian routes (the
takeover was almost the same month the terminal opened). BA subsequently
decided that its long-haul should be predominantly from Heathrow.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 12:04 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 12:27:49 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 12:16:52 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
North is the impression I get from this pictu

http://www.gatwickobviously.com/debate


That looks like it's just about on the position of the current A23. It
shows the new terminal building as being, as one would expect, about
as far south of the current runway as the current main terminal is
north of it. It's quite a distance from the current railway station,
much further than the North terminal.


The current main terminal is alongside the station!


Of course I know that -- I have used Gatwick, you know. I was
obviously talking about how far the new terminal would be from the
existing south terminal and the railway station.

http://goo.gl/maps/ohZXO

And if you draw another arc mirroring the shuttle to the north terminal
(you aren't getting confused by the satellite I hope) it'll end up
exactly where the new terminal is pictured, just south of the eastern
end of the existing runway.


No, it's nearly twice as far. A flipped arc would get you just beyond
the end of the runway, not the terminal.

And, no, I'm obviously not confused by the satellite (I'm not Mr
Bell). I've used it both when it had its little shuttle train, and
since that was removed.

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 12:07 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 12:47:40 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 12:22:10 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:

BA, which dominated the North terminal when it first opened, will soon
be squeezed out of that terminal, into the older South terminal.


Which they must have inherited from the British Caledonian routes (the
takeover was almost the same month the terminal opened). BA subsequently
decided that its long-haul should be predominantly from Heathrow.


Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same. Most US airlines moved entirely to Heathrow as soon as they were
allowed to.

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 12:13 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 13:04:37 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
http://goo.gl/maps/ohZXO

And if you draw another arc mirroring the shuttle to the north terminal
(you aren't getting confused by the satellite I hope) it'll end up
exactly where the new terminal is pictured, just south of the eastern
end of the existing runway.


No, it's nearly twice as far. A flipped arc would get you just beyond
the end of the runway, not the terminal.


But the corner of the terminal is only a taxi-way (or about three
plane-lengths) from the corner of the runway. Utterly trivial for a
shuttle train's transit time.
--
Roland Perry

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 12:14 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 13:07:29 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.


Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 01:02 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 13:14:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 13:07:29 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.


Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.


True, but the demand is for more hub flights, which is why it's
Heathrow that's bursting at the seams, while LCC-focused Stansted and
Gatwick are short of business. With six international airports, London
isn't really short of runway capacity, but it desperately needs a
bigger hub airport.

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 01:06 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 13:13:07 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 13:04:37 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
http://goo.gl/maps/ohZXO

And if you draw another arc mirroring the shuttle to the north terminal
(you aren't getting confused by the satellite I hope) it'll end up
exactly where the new terminal is pictured, just south of the eastern
end of the existing runway.


No, it's nearly twice as far. A flipped arc would get you just beyond
the end of the runway, not the terminal.


But the corner of the terminal is only a taxi-way (or about three
plane-lengths) from the corner of the runway. Utterly trivial for a
shuttle train's transit time.


Of course, this discussion of the length of a flipped arc is all a bit
academic, as the inter-terminal link would be underground, and would
presumably take a straighter, more direct route under the runway and
two taxiways, rather like the Barajas T4 link.

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 03:02 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 14:02:55 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.


Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.


True, but the demand is for more hub flights, which is why it's
Heathrow that's bursting at the seams, while LCC-focused Stansted and
Gatwick are short of business. With six international airports, London
isn't really short of runway capacity, but it desperately needs a
bigger hub airport.


What it needs to do is shift some of the non-hub flights away from
Heathrow.
--
Roland Perry

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 03:33 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
Roland Perry wrote:
In message , at 14:02:55 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.

Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.


True, but the demand is for more hub flights, which is why it's
Heathrow that's bursting at the seams, while LCC-focused Stansted and
Gatwick are short of business. With six international airports, London
isn't really short of runway capacity, but it desperately needs a
bigger hub airport.


What it needs to do is shift some of the non-hub flights away from Heathrow.


The airlines operating those flights obviously thought it worthwhile to pay
for expensive slot pairs at Heathrow, instead of the much cheaper ones at
Gatwick or the even cheaper ones at Stansted. Gatwick actually lost *all*
of its US airlines to Heathrow. The fact is that the demand is
overwhelmingly at Heathrow, while Gatwick says it has 25% spare capacity.

[email protected] September 2nd 14 03:49 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 11:44:10 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 10:41:33 GMT, d wrote:

On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 10:44:46 +0100
Recliner wrote:
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


Which "entire business community" would this be then? Give some examples.


http://www.theguardian.com/business/...ick-airport-ex
ansion


The CBI is a private political lobbying organisation that represents a small
fraction of businesses in this country.

Got a proper example?

--
Spud


Roland Perry September 2nd 14 03:59 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message

, at 10:33:56 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:

What it needs to do is shift some of the non-hub flights away from Heathrow.


The airlines operating those flights obviously thought it worthwhile to pay
for expensive slot pairs at Heathrow, instead of the much cheaper ones at
Gatwick or the even cheaper ones at Stansted.


But with limited capacity they need to make decisions about which are
the mist valuable flights to continue from Heathrow.

Gatwick actually lost *all* of its US airlines to Heathrow.


Yes, but back in the day every US electronic component company thought
they had to be in Bath Road, Slough.

The fact is that the demand is overwhelmingly at Heathrow, while
Gatwick says it has 25% spare capacity.


But if the cost (political etc) of expanding Heathrow is too high...
--
Roland Perry

[email protected] September 2nd 14 04:00 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 02 Sep 2014 11:50:51 +0100
Someone Somewhere wrote:
On 02/09/2014 11:40, d wrote:
Logic actually favours no expansion at all.

By this you mean your logic or the logic you're minded to believe in?


This logic:
Expansion will do next to nothing for UK business
Will add to pollution
Will add to noise

The hub part is one argument, but it can clearly be argued that
expansion to even handle the current number of flights is necessary to
prevent stacking or horrendous problems caused by the smallest of issues
due to lack of over-capacity.


Flights arn't a natural phenomenon that have to be dealt with. They don't
suddenly appear out of the ether. If the airports can't cope with the amount
of flights they shouldn't give the airlines the slots in the first place.
Simple. If they're over capacity its their own damn faults.

I await the response that if you build more capacity it will fill up,


So you don't think it will after a decade or 2?

and you hear the same argument about road building. Strangely, it's
rarely used when it comes to railways. But in any case if people feel


Apart from HS1 and crossrail, when was the last time a major railway was
built in this country? Or to be more precise - which century? And have you
no noticed all the complaining about HS2?

so strongly about such things they should examine their overall
travelling habits - but then they couldn't have their big house in the
leafy suburbs....


I don't fly more than once every few years, and I try and use public
transport where possible. So I might not be at the top of the moral high
ground but I suspect I'm higher up than most. And good luck buying a house
in a city centre these days.

If we see air travel as a necessity, even if that is an evil necessity,


Do we?

then logic would dictate that you need a single airport that is easy
and quick to get to from all parts of the area it serves to use the
capacity as efficiently as possible - I haven't looked at the schedules
but I can well believe every London airport has several flights a day to
particular european destinations that could easily be consolidated into
less "movements" in larger, more efficient, planes if that were the case.


Probably, but they're no doubt run by different airlines who would cry foul
if one airline was given sole responsibility for a route. Unless they had
a rota. Either way, can't see it happening.

--
Spud




[email protected] September 2nd 14 04:04 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 12:01:02 +0100
"Robin" wrote:
Logic actually favours no expansion at all. The much quoted hub
airport
will do nothing for UK Plc other than put more money into the pockets
of
the airport owners and will be an enviromental disaster wherever its
located. But of course as soon as someone says this you get the usual
vested interests shouting them down saying they're anti business and
banging on about "growth".


So all those other countries/cities[1] which have developed 4-runway[2]
airports are stupid?


How many airports does each of those cities have? As a reference point
London has:

Heathrow
Gatwick
Luton
Stansted
City
Southend

And people honestly believe we need even more capacity. Its a ****ing joke.

As if a constant increase in GDP is all
that makes a pleasant country to live in.


Could luck campaiging for votes on a manifesto of "let's stand still and
let the rest of the world get richer". You might be happy with the
prospect of the same per capita GDP (PPP) as, say, the average African
has currently but I doubt many others would.


Do you understand what GDP is? Its simply the amount of money moving around the
system, its not an absolute measure of wealth, health or prosperity. If you
want a high GDP you simply get people buying disposable crap they don't need
which is why politicians love it when retail does well.

--
Spud



Roland Perry September 2nd 14 04:13 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 16:04:23 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, d remarked:
How many airports does each of those cities have? As a reference point


London has:




Heathrow


Gatwick


Luton


Stansted


City


Southend


You forgot:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Oxford_Airport
--
Roland Perry

[email protected] September 2nd 14 04:42 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 17:13:21 +0100
Roland Perry wrote:
In message , at 16:04:23 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, d remarked:
How many airports does each of those cities have? As a reference point


London has:




Heathrow


Gatwick


Luton


Stansted


City


Southend


You forgot:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Oxford_Airport


Thats more an airfield than a proper airport - I doubt an airbus could even
taxi on it , much less land. But if you want to include that then we shouldn't
forget about Biggin Hill.

--
Spud



Roland Perry September 2nd 14 05:05 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at 16:42:53 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, d remarked:
London has:








Heathrow




Gatwick




Luton




Stansted




City




Southend




You forgot:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Oxford_Airport



Thats more an airfield than a proper airport - I doubt an airbus could even


taxi on it , much less land. But if you want to include that then we shouldn't


forget about Biggin Hill.



I'm including places which market themselves with "London" in the name.

One of life's big ironies a few years back was a Which? report slagging
off foreign airports that falsely claimed to be close to well known
cities. In the same issue they gave "London Stansted" a ringing
endorsement, despite being further from its eponymous city than any of
the foreign airports they were complaining about.
--
Roland Perry

tim..... September 2nd 14 06:28 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

"Recliner" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 10:22:49 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message
,
at 02:36:55 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner
remarked:
Having lived through the "Third airport" debacle, where unless I'm very
much mistaken the result was expanding the biggest existing shortlisted
airport (and rejecting otherwise preferred but more expensive builds),
I
wouldn't be surprised to see Gatwick being chosen for the "next new
runway".

By that logic, surely Heathrow would be chosen?


Lots of local opposition, and much more expensive.


True, but also much, much more demand for it. Apart from Gatwick
airport itself, not many people are demanding a second runway there.
Pretty much the entire business community and airline industry want
Heathrow to expand.


That's because they've all bought into the fiction that it will mean there
is space for daily flights to Ulan Bator (insert list of other out of the
way places that only 3 people a week want to travel to) thus increasing the
trade that we do with um, Mongolia.

But IMHO the extra capacity wont be used this way. It'll be used to
increase the number of flights a day to NYC from 30 to 60 to no-ones benefit
except BA/AA/Etc

tim



tim..... September 2nd 14 06:31 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 

"Recliner" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 13:14:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 13:07:29 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.


Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.


True, but the demand is for more hub flights,


Is it?

there are plenty of people saying that it is point to point leisure that is
going to see the biggest increase in demand






Arthur Figgis September 2nd 14 06:33 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
On 02/09/2014 18:05, Roland Perry wrote:
In message , at 16:42:53 on Tue, 2 Sep
2014, d remarked:
London has:








Heathrow




Gatwick




Luton




Stansted




City




Southend




You forgot:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Oxford_Airport



Thats more an airfield than a proper airport - I doubt an airbus could
even


taxi on it , much less land. But if you want to include that then we
shouldn't


forget about Biggin Hill.



I'm including places which market themselves with "London" in the name.


London Ashford.

One of life's big ironies a few years back was a Which? report slagging
off foreign airports that falsely claimed to be close to well known
cities. In the same issue they gave "London Stansted" a ringing
endorsement, despite being further from its eponymous city than any of
the foreign airports they were complaining about.


To a certain extent, distance is less important than transport links.

A distant airport with a fast and easy-to-use train to the city centre
every 30 min, perhaps even a mainline connection to anywhere in the
country, is less of an issue than a edge-of-town airport with a solitary
bus which leaves just before you can reach the stop (and which requires
trawling badly-implemented local authority websites to discover how to
buy, activate, charge-up and use an [insert name of sea creature]-card),
or one where passengers act as a kind of welfare state for the friends
and relations of the taxi drivers.

--
Arthur Figgis Surrey, UK

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 07:03 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
"tim....." wrote:
"Recliner" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 2 Sep 2014 13:14:48 +0100, Roland Perry
wrote:

In message , at 13:07:29 on
Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:
Basically, BA puts as many flights into Heathrow as will fit, with the
overflow left in Gatwick. As long haul is more profitable, it's
largely in Heathrow, apart from beach flights. Virgin does exactly the
same.

Exactly - and it's those beach flights which are the ones least likely
to be benefiting from a hub effect.


True, but the demand is for more hub flights,


Is it?

there are plenty of people saying that it is point to point leisure that
is going to see the biggest increase in demand


People can predict whatever they like, but the price of Heathrow slots
demonstrates very clearly where the tangible demand lies.

Recliner[_2_] September 2nd 14 07:04 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
Roland Perry wrote:
In message
, at 10:33:56 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Recliner remarked:

What it needs to do is shift some of the non-hub flights away from Heathrow.


The airlines operating those flights obviously thought it worthwhile to pay
for expensive slot pairs at Heathrow, instead of the much cheaper ones at
Gatwick or the even cheaper ones at Stansted.


But with limited capacity they need to make decisions about which are the
mist valuable flights to continue from Heathrow.

Gatwick actually lost *all* of its US airlines to Heathrow.


Yes, but back in the day every US electronic component company thought
they had to be in Bath Road, Slough.


These are recent decisions.

The fact is that the demand is overwhelmingly at Heathrow, while
Gatwick says it has 25% spare capacity.


But if the cost (political etc) of expanding Heathrow is too high...


That's why the decision has been out off till just after the election. If
they were going to choose Gatwick, they could have done so at any time.

Roland Perry September 2nd 14 08:04 PM

As predicted, Boris Island sunk
 
In message , at
19:33:48 on Tue, 2 Sep 2014, Arthur Figgis
remarked:
One of life's big ironies a few years back was a Which? report slagging
off foreign airports that falsely claimed to be close to well known
cities. In the same issue they gave "London Stansted" a ringing
endorsement, despite being further from its eponymous city than any of
the foreign airports they were complaining about.


To a certain extent, distance is less important than transport links.

A distant airport with a fast and easy-to-use train to the city centre
every 30 min, perhaps even a mainline connection to anywhere in the
country, is less of an issue than a edge-of-town airport with a
solitary bus...


Stansted is OK southbound to London, as long as you take the timings
with a pinch of salt (the advertised time is only as far as Tottenham
Hale, which in some respects one can't deny is "London").

Anywhere else and it's a joke. And don't forget they just decided to cut
the last two trains to London in the evening.

--
Roland Perry


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