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#11
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![]() "Recliner" wrote in message ... tim... wrote: Perhaps this is some taxation game that they are playing reporting these losses? No, but those losses will be carried forward to offset future profits when they arrive. Do you *really* think Uber's business is that simple? Is how simple yes I do I look forward to your next management textbook. It should be refreshingly short. spending billions on trying to win a market of millions is just silly Ah well, you'd better sell your well-informed investment advice to the billionaire funds investing in Uber. You clearly understand this market much better than they do. Everything that I did find when trying to research this shows that everything in the Garden is not rosy for Uber I suspect that the backers will get cold feet soon tim |
#12
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Robin9 wrote:
'Recliner[_3_ Wrote: ;158072']Robin9 wrote:- tim...;158053 Wrote: - came into my in box via my linkedin account https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/uber-...jared-carmel-2 posted without comment (for now) tim --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus- Interesting. What surprises me is that Uber is deemed to be losing money hand over fist. Not making enough profit to provide investers with a satisfactory return is one thing. Actually making a substantial loss is another. As Uber's drivers are paid only a percentage of what customers are charged, in London at least the business must show a profit before overheads are included. Are Uber's overheads far too high?- Uber's overheads are famously low. Why do you think Uber is making a profit in London? It doesn't even make a profit in the US. If Uber can't make a profit before overheads are included, they must be grossly incompetent. Remember how the London minicab trade works. The driver is deemed to be self-employed, and pays for the car, insurance and petrol himself. The customer pays Uber by credit card and Uber pays a small percentage to the driver. As Uber seems to have taken a huge share of the market away from both Hackney cabs and minicabs, the number of jobs per day must be in the thousands. Multiply that number of jobs by an average net revenue of, say, five pounds and you arrive at a gross income which must be more than the cost of a minimal office set-up. Uber is investing in market growth. That's where the big money goes. So it subsidies drivers to get into new markets, and spends a lot on marketing. I dare say it spends a lot on political lobbying as well. The really big losses were in China, but that's now stopped, so from now on, the losses should taper. But it's still fighting competitive battles in many markets, so bottom line profits will remain illusive. It also seems to be spending a lot on driverless technologies, as it expects these to be cheaper than drivers within a few years. But that means it will need to invest in the cars. |
#14
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Robin9 wrote:
'Recliner[_3_ Wrote: ;158092']Robin9 wrote:- 'Recliner[_3_ Wrote: - ;158072']Robin9 wrote:- tim...;158053 Wrote: - came into my in box via my linkedin account https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/uber-...jared-carmel-2 posted without comment (for now) tim --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus- Interesting. What surprises me is that Uber is deemed to be losing money hand over fist. Not making enough profit to provide investers with a satisfactory return is one thing. Actually making a substantial loss is another. As Uber's drivers are paid only a percentage of what customers are charged, in London at least the business must show a profit before overheads are included. Are Uber's overheads far too high?- Uber's overheads are famously low. Why do you think Uber is making a profit in London? It doesn't even make a profit in the US. - If Uber can't make a profit before overheads are included, they must be grossly incompetent. Remember how the London minicab trade works. The driver is deemed to be self-employed, and pays for the car, insurance and petrol himself. The customer pays Uber by credit card and Uber pays a small percentage to the driver. As Uber seems to have taken a huge share of the market away from both Hackney cabs and minicabs, the number of jobs per day must be in the thousands. Multiply that number of jobs by an average net revenue of, say, five pounds and you arrive at a gross income which must be more than the cost of a minimal office set-up.- Uber is investing in market growth. That's where the big money goes. So it subsidies drivers to get into new markets, and spends a lot on marketing. I dare say it spends a lot on political lobbying as well. The really big losses were in China, but that's now stopped, so from now on, the losses should taper. But it's still fighting competitive battles in many markets, so bottom line profits will remain illusive. It also seems to be spending a lot on driverless technologies, as it expects these to be cheaper than drivers within a few years. But that means it will need to invest in the cars. I'm discussing the situation in London, and there is no indication that Uber are subsidising their drivers here. I am sceptical that they do anywhere, and I'm not persuaded merely because it is stated on the Internet. I'd like someone who believes that Uber are subsidising their drivers to explain in detail how this is done. Google is your friend: https://seattletransitblog.com/2016/...-of-subsidies/ http://www.financialexpress.com/indu...n-loss/358291/ https://www.bloomberg.com/view/artic...l-survive-uber http://www.hybridcars.com/uber-loses...ke-their-toll/ http://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenhue.../#6fcde8ad2bd6 http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/ubers-hands...f-2016-1578115 http://www.forbes.com/sites/ellenhue.../#354f4fe08c57 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...y-defeat-lyft/ http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/...w/47600297.cms |
#15
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On Mon, 19 Sep 2016 19:25:51 +0100, "tim..."
wrote: "Recliner" wrote in message ... tim... wrote: Perhaps this is some taxation game that they are playing reporting these losses? No, but those losses will be carried forward to offset future profits when they arrive. Do you *really* think Uber's business is that simple? Is how simple yes I do I look forward to your next management textbook. It should be refreshingly short. spending billions on trying to win a market of millions is just silly Ah well, you'd better sell your well-informed investment advice to the billionaire funds investing in Uber. You clearly understand this market much better than they do. Everything that I did find when trying to research this shows that everything in the Garden is not rosy for Uber I think that was your view before doing any research. I suspect that the backers will get cold feet soon Perhaps they will, but not for the reasons you think. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/ubers...oundation.html |
#16
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On Tue, 20 Sep 2016 13:10:55 +0100
Recliner wrote: Perhaps they will, but not for the reasons you think. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/ubers...e-on-shaky-fou dation.html Like the majority of the current crop of silicon valley start ups then. I'm amazed the bubble has lasted this long. There must be a boatload of gullible rich idiots out there bankrolling them all. -- Spud |
#17
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wrote:
On Tue, 20 Sep 2016 13:10:55 +0100 Recliner wrote: Perhaps they will, but not for the reasons you think. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/ubers...e-on-shaky-fou dation.html Like the majority of the current crop of silicon valley start ups then. I'm amazed the bubble has lasted this long. There must be a boatload of gullible rich idiots out there bankrolling them all. Yup, I can never understand the huge valuations put on high profile SV startups. But sometimes they actually prove they can eventually make real profits (eg, Facebook), and in many other cases they exit on a decent valuation. So the early investors often make a very good multiple, which pays for the others that don't make it. With Uber, the investors aren't betting on the current business model, but on an imagined future where people don't own their own cars, but rent transport as they need it. Uber's plan is to dominate that market, and the VCs are prepared to fund it to do so. |
#18
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![]() "Recliner" wrote in message ... On Mon, 19 Sep 2016 19:25:51 +0100, "tim..." wrote: "Recliner" wrote in message ... tim... wrote: Perhaps this is some taxation game that they are playing reporting these losses? No, but those losses will be carried forward to offset future profits when they arrive. Do you *really* think Uber's business is that simple? Is how simple yes I do I look forward to your next management textbook. It should be refreshingly short. spending billions on trying to win a market of millions is just silly Ah well, you'd better sell your well-informed investment advice to the billionaire funds investing in Uber. You clearly understand this market much better than they do. Everything that I did find when trying to research this shows that everything in the Garden is not rosy for Uber I think that was your view before doing any research. Nope I thought that it had questionable business practices, but I (sadly) also thought that it was destined to take over the world I suspect that the backers will get cold feet soon Perhaps they will, but not for the reasons you think. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/ubers...oundation.html ISTR that I made some of these comments before (about its MO being easy to replicate) I also don't recognise the basic premise "They integrated a mostly unused stockpile of personal automobiles" Um? Nhow many people do you know with a nearly new Mercedes S class (the mandated type of car for early adopters) sitting in the garage unused whilst they sit in the lounge twiddling their thumbs. The average underemployed person who considers being a cabbie to make ends meet has a beat up old Sierra (at best) in the garage tim |
#19
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![]() wrote in message ... On Tue, 20 Sep 2016 13:10:55 +0100 Recliner wrote: Perhaps they will, but not for the reasons you think. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/08/ubers...e-on-shaky-fou dation.html Like the majority of the current crop of silicon valley start ups then. I'm amazed the bubble has lasted this long. There must be a boatload of gullible rich idiots out there bankrolling them all. with bank interest rate down at zero, there's a lot of money sloshing around looking for a home Early investors don't even need to believe in the long term prospects for the company, all they need to believe in is the bigger fool coming along later. Just look at the absurd valuation of Ocardo against its piddly market share, its piddly profit per delivery and it non-existent growth potential now that every man and his dog supermarket has a competing operation (with lower fulfilment costs) tim |
#20
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On Tue, 20 Sep 2016 14:08:48 -0000 (UTC)
Recliner wrote: With Uber, the investors aren't betting on the current business model, but on an imagined future where people don't own their own cars, but rent transport as they need it. Uber's plan is to dominate that market, and the VCs are prepared to fund it to do so. Only people who only ever lived in a city flat would think renting a car on an as-you-need-it basis is a viable model for family life out in the sticks. If taxis and rental cars were the solution to every car problem then there wouldn't be 15 million private cars in the UK. Equally stupid is the rent your self driving car out when you're not using it idea that I've seen put forward. Oh sure, I'll just let any old tom, dick or harriett use the 2nd largest capital investment in my life as they see fit. Vomit on the carpet and everything nicked from the boot is just what I want the next day. Honestly , some of these californian techies live on another planet. And I speak as a techie. -- Spud |
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