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-   -   About West London Tram (https://www.londonbanter.co.uk/london-transport/3561-about-west-london-tram.html)

David Bradley November 14th 05 07:40 AM

About West London Tram
 
On 13 Nov 2005 15:51:31 -0800, wrote:

David Bradley wrote:

The contents of the web page that is the home page of
www.tfwl.org.uk which
has 'the opinion' statement was written in 2001 and has been continuously
displayed on another web site since that time. In four years a lot has
changed I am seeking an updated statement that reflects current thinking of
the organisations to whom this opinon originates from, together with
permissions to reproduce the exchange of emails received then and subsequently
on the issues you raise.


Another dodgy answer. You claimed that the opinion came from "the
country's largest group of professional transport planners". "Group" -
singular. Such a group must have a name, so why not tell us?


Because I MUST have permission first to use this information. It is one thing
for people working withinr such organisations to express an opiniont privately
but quite another for those same statements to be published.

And you haven't told us where the "10 minute frequency" "rule" came
from. Such a clear-cut rule must be documented and attributable, so...?


The 10 minute justification comes from the Arnhem report into whether to
replace or retain trolleybuses. When we were considering London we changed it
to five minutes because everything in the UK is absurdly more expensive to do
than on the other side of the Channel. We have never analysed the revenue
against costs of the proposal in full detail but did do some very rough
calculations of costs and revenue and that seemed to confirm that it was a
viable concept financially.

David Bradley




November 14th 05 08:49 AM

About West London Tram
 
asdf said:

On Sun, 13 Nov 2005 08:35:12 +0000, David Bradley
wrote:


Our proposals go much deeply than that but clearly
you are not interested in the detail.


You have not been so kind as to furnish us with any of the "deeper"
detail.

Your website spends many pages and thousands of words rubbishing the
tram scheme (or just trams in general), but says very little about
this detailed scheme you say you are proposing instead.


Yes. I've said it before, but it still bears repeating. David's whole
chain of reasoning seems to be based on:

a) TfL's tram scheme is flawed.
b) His trolleybus scheme isn't TfL's tram scheme.
c) Therefore, his trolleybus scheme can't be flawed.

He then spends all his arguing points (a) and (b), even though we all
agree with him about those. But, he does nothing at all to convince us
about point (c), which is the part that's bothering us.




John Rowland November 14th 05 09:40 AM

About West London Tram
 
wrote in message
...
asdf said:

David's whole chain of reasoning seems to be based on:

a) TfL's tram scheme is flawed.
b) His trolleybus scheme isn't TfL's tram scheme.
c) Therefore, his trolleybus scheme can't be flawed.

He then spends all his arguing points (a) and (b), even though we all
agree with him about those. But, he does nothing at all to convince us
about point (c), which is the part that's bothering us.


I thought David's chain of reasoning was

a) I like trolleybuses
b) Therefore everyone else should pay for one on every street

--
John Rowland - Spamtrapped
Transport Plans for the London Area, updated 2001
http://www.geocities.com/Athens/Acro...69/tpftla.html
A man's vehicle is a symbol of his manhood.
That's why my vehicle's the Piccadilly Line -
It's the size of a county and it comes every two and a half minutes



David Bradley November 14th 05 10:34 AM

About West London Tram
 
On Sun, 13 Nov 2005 10:05:41 -0000, wrote:

David Bradley said:

I thought that the time had actually come to draw in line in the sand
over the exchanges made at uk.transport.london and the only reason I
kept it going for so long is that Internet searches on the West
London Tram would reveal discussions going on in this backwater.


Charming.

However it seem no matter how much I dot the eyes or cross the tees
it never seems to be enough to satisfy some people that are sceptical
that a trolleybus solution can deliver any real benefits.


And what does that suggest about your trolleybus solution? Maybe the
situation is more complex than your claims that "All trolleybuses are
good" would suggest?


Logically it suggests either that the argument is flawed or that there are
large numbers of people who have tightly closed minds or both. The first
option is not the only logical possibility even if it were expressed
correctly. The 'quotation' is of course not really one at all. No such phrase
has ever been used. This is an inversion of the argument put forward by some
of the pro-tram fraternity who often do espouse the view that 'all trams are
good'. Arguments based on any premise that one mode is always superior in all
circumstances (whichever mode it is) do not hold up against any form of
professional scrutiny. Unfortunately much debate is by enthusiasts with fairly
narrow interests (they just 'like trams') who have no real grasp of wider
social and economic issues. which do not interest them.


I thought it would be reasonably easy to respond to the issues raised
by you but found myself very quickly bogged down trying to provide
bullet point replies. All I could manage was several paragraphs
before getting a headache


Yes, well, the real world is more complicated than your "Trolleybuses
are always good" mantra. I'm sorry if that gives you a headache, but it
can't be helped.


No further comment required - answered above.


If there is going to be street based public transport along the
Uxbridge Road


Ah, that is a very big "if". Why should we restrict ourselves to only
considering "street based public transport along the Uxbridge Road"?
Instead, we could use our imaginations and creativity to come up with
approaches that are totally different.


There is no logical reason why we should restrict ourselves to only
considering "street based public transport along the Uxbridge Road'. It is
TfL who are restricting consideration to just one form of such public
transport, a street based tram. We are suggesting consideration of what we
consider to be another and more viable option, that of trolleybuses. There is
no reason why others should not come up with other options. All options could
be debated objectively on a benefit/cost basis. We are not afraid of any such
comparisons with the proposed Trolleybus option. It is TfL that has
deliberately stifled all debate and is proceeding with one option only
irrespective.

If we say a trolleybus option is better than a tram, then we have
arrived at that conclusion by considerable research into TfL's tram
scheme.


Take care you don't fall into what boffins call "the Fallacy of
Induction". Just because *a* trolleybus scheme is better than *a* tram
scheme, you can't always assume that all trolleybus schemes are better
than all tram schemes.


This appears to have degenerated into a semantics argument between the
definite and indefinite article. This true specific position in this case
needs to be made clear without diverting into arguments regarding the general
principles of logic.

TfL are proposing only a single version of a street running tram scheme. The
only allowed variation is for tweaks to some minor details but it is
effectively 'the one and only' tram option. We are proposing an unguided
trolleybus option which as far as we are aware is also 'the'one and only'
unguided trolleybus option (we are not aware of any others. Now of course
logically there could be options of different versions of both tram and
trolleybus schemes. There could be (in theory) but there actually are not (in
practice). There is nothing to stop others coming up with such variants but we
would reiterate that it is TfL which is adopting the stance of 'this
(particular tram scheme) is the only option'. We would welcome objective
debate and the GLA committee which represented such a forum for debate would
not endorse the TfL tram option as a proven 'best case' but suggested further
research and discussion. This has perhaps not unsurprisingly been totally
ignored by the Mayor and TfL.

Your response was "I would hope that
whatever mode of WLT is chosen, it wouldn't integrate its stops with
bus stops. Keeping them separate would help establish it in the
public's imagination as something new and different. This will help
stimulate their curiosity more than just the same old bus routes
calling at the same old bus stops but with added overhead cables."
Taking this text alone I assume you intended to throw the baby out
with the bathwater by not even trying to have an integrated public
transport system.


Not at all. I just have a different perception of "integrated" than
you. After all, you don't expect buses to stop at the platforms in
railway stations, do you? They stop on the street outside. And in, for
example, Euston station, the mainline trains don't share the same
platforms as the tube trains. (Heck, even the Northern Line branches
don't stop at the same platforms as each other.) Does this mean they
aren't "integrated" in your book?

Integration really is a complex subject that cannot be oversimplified without
making some very strange (and completely erroneous) conclusions. The different
Northern Line platforms at Euston are historical. They were built by two
different private companies at different times (and with two different
structure gauges and electrification systems). Whilst the station is
integrated in the sense that you can get from one set of platforms to the
other, it represents a later 'best of a bad job' scheme and it is not a very
convenient piece of integration between the two branches for the passenger.
The (deliberately planned) cross platform interchange at the same location
between the Northern Bank Branch platforms and the Victoria Line is much
better integration.

To come back to WLT, people do not consistently use a mode (or modes) of
transport out of 'curiosity'. This is really an absurd statement totally
contradicted by all research. One of the main factors that does make people
decide whether to use a mode or modes is convenience. People do not like
having long walks at interchanges (hence the cross platform interchange
already referred to at Euston). This is even more true if they have to make
the walk in the outside and subject to the vagaries of the UK climate.
Changing is always confirmed in any research to be one of the great
disincentives to use of any mode or combinations of modes. (On main line
railways when considering the marketing of services, actual waiting time at an
intechange was always multiplied by three and then added to the train running
time in any claculations of overall jourrney time to try and compensate for
this factor and this assumed a railway station that probably had at least a
roof if not a waiting room).

Twice a day along the Uxbridge Road (at changeover time) in the TfL plan, you
won't really know where to go even if you are not changing. At night do you
walk to the bus stop for the first night bus or the tram stop for the last day
tram and of course vice versa in the morning?

So irrespective of how you define integration, the actual manner of changing
tram to bus and vice versa involving a considerable walk in the open will
certainly not encourage use of the tram. It will discourage it and represent
negative modal shift (but this is not (un)surprisingly allowed for in the TfL
calculations of modal shift).

Having experienced the joint tram and bus stops (in many cases in lanes
segregated from other traffic) in many European cities (including Turin and
Milan recently) there can be no doubt that these represent better integration
(and therefore less unattractiveness to passengers) than is being proposed by
TfL along the Uxbridge Road.

Away from the attractiveness and modal shift implications, there are traffic
flow implications as well. At some places where carriageway width is at a
premium, the combination of 40 metre centre tram islands at one location with
kerbside bus stops at a different location slightly further along the road
could easily cause the traffic to stop and clog back. Whilst numerical
calcuations have been done by consultants for TflL of envisaged overall
traffic flows post tram and these have been made public, we are not aware of
any traffic flow simulations in respect of the scheme for specific sections of
the Uxbridge Road (certainly there do not appear to be any in the public
domain).

David Bradley



[email protected] November 14th 05 10:56 AM

About West London Tram
 
David Bradley wrote:

Because I MUST have permission first to use this information. It is one thing
for people working withinr such organisations to express an opiniont privately
but quite another for those same statements to be published.


It isn't this lot, then?:

http://www.tbus.org.uk/introduction.htm


Brimstone November 14th 05 11:11 AM

About West London Tram
 
wrote:
David Bradley wrote:

Because I MUST have permission first to use this information. It is
one thing for people working withinr such organisations to express
an opiniont privately but quite another for those same statements to
be published.


It isn't this lot, then?:

http://www.tbus.org.uk/introduction.htm

If one scrolls to the bottom of http://www.tbus.org.uk/home.htm a familiar
name is listed second from top.



asdf November 14th 05 04:52 PM

About West London Tram
 
On Sun, 13 Nov 2005 18:27:14 +0000, David Bradley
wrote:

Well that really won't do will it? So if you could kindly provide a listing
of the questions I have missed, I will address each and every one.


As you probably expected, I really can't be bothered.

Additionally, if it cannot be shown that *any* scheme involving
trolleybuses does any more to reduce congestion than *the same* scheme
but using bendybuses, and if congestion reduction is principal
objective, and if the costs of trolleybuses over bendybuses are large
(wires, substations, etc), then it's perfectly legitimate to drop any
further consideration of using trolleybuses.


There is nothing the same about using bendybuses vs. trolleybuses.


I'm not sure what you're trying to say. All other aspects of a
solution for Uxbridge Road (dedicated lanes, demolition and road
widening, improved stop information, congestion charging, whatever)
would be the same, regardless of which of the two types of vehicle was
used.

There are
pros and cons to using both vehicles but on balance there are more advantages
in favour of trolleybuses on the *right* routes. Considering a very narrow
objective of congestion reduction then this can equally be achieved by
congestion charging along the Uxbridge Road corridor.


So you're saying that my conclusion fails because congestion reduction
is not (or should not be) the principal objective.

Nevertheless, scepticism has been expressed in this group that your
proposal will do any more to relieve congestion than the same proposal
but using diesel bendybuses - so if you feel you need an "alternative"
proposal to attack, fire away.


Congestion problems are only part of the equation for better quality of life
in this area of London. Where investment is put into any area then it needs
to have an identified return on the expenditure.


I shall leave it an open question as to whether replacing bendies with
trolleybuses provides better value than using the money in a way that
reduces congestion.

David Bradley November 15th 05 09:02 AM

About West London Tram
 
On Mon, 14 Nov 2005 17:52:08 +0000, asdf wrote:

On Sun, 13 Nov 2005 18:27:14 +0000, David Bradley
wrote:

Well that really won't do will it? So if you could kindly provide a listing
of the questions I have missed, I will address each and every one.


As you probably expected, I really can't be bothered.

Additionally, if it cannot be shown that *any* scheme involving
trolleybuses does any more to reduce congestion than *the same* scheme
but using bendybuses, and if congestion reduction is principal
objective, and if the costs of trolleybuses over bendybuses are large
(wires, substations, etc), then it's perfectly legitimate to drop any
further consideration of using trolleybuses.


There is nothing the same about using bendybuses vs. trolleybuses.


I'm not sure what you're trying to say. All other aspects of a
solution for Uxbridge Road (dedicated lanes, demolition and road
widening, improved stop information, congestion charging, whatever)
would be the same, regardless of which of the two types of vehicle was
used.

There are
pros and cons to using both vehicles but on balance there are more advantages
in favour of trolleybuses on the *right* routes. Considering a very narrow
objective of congestion reduction then this can equally be achieved by
congestion charging along the Uxbridge Road corridor.


So you're saying that my conclusion fails because congestion reduction
is not (or should not be) the principal objective.

Nevertheless, scepticism has been expressed in this group that your
proposal will do any more to relieve congestion than the same proposal
but using diesel bendybuses - so if you feel you need an "alternative"
proposal to attack, fire away.


Congestion problems are only part of the equation for better quality of life
in this area of London. Where investment is put into any area then it needs
to have an identified return on the expenditure.


I shall leave it an open question as to whether replacing bendies with
trolleybuses provides better value than using the money in a way that
reduces congestion.


London Buses Ltd in its publication "Cleaner Air for London - London Buses
leads the Way" estimated that the cost of health care which results from
diesel bus air pollution equates to an equivalent of €0.20 per km. A different
report prepared at the Roma Tre University in Rome suggested the cost as being
as high as €1.20 per km. Using either figure helps justify the investment in
new trolleybus systems because it indicates that installing the electrical
infrastructure would result in significant financial benefits in reduced
health care costs. Certainly this is how the new Rome trolleybus system came
about.

No on-road transport scheme is going to reduce congestion, and any road based
public transport vehicle is going to have to spend a large part of its revenue
earning service stationary in traffic queues, in addition to the time spent at
stops picking up and setting down passengers, even with cash fare payment on
entry eliminated. In these circumstances trolleybuses win hands down in
respect of the ride quality, improved external environmental impact locally,
low energy consumption, identifiable operator commitment, level boarding with
100% level low floors, less maintenance costs and a longer life. Trolleybuses
also have a proven model shift appeal.

In contrast diesel bendibuses are noisy, vibrating, fume-belching and
fuel-wasting monstrosities. They also have an image problem that is hard to
shake off for modal shift.

The only hope of impacting at all on road traffic congestion in this area is
to improve the off-road public transport network (heavy rail, light rail and
if appropriate busways [preferably electric], and improve utilization of the
existing rail network. By all means tinker with congestion issues like
restricting certain vehicles on particular days and introducing benefits for
high occupancy vehicles [cars with 2 or more passengers] and anything else you
may car to think about but unless the Uxbridge Road becomes completely
pedestrianised, then any extra capacity will be quickly absorbed.

However, this thread is not about the merits of one type of bus against
another; it is more about the folly of building a tramway along the Uxbridge
Road corridor which, far from improving congestion problems, will actually
make things a lot worse and certainly change the character of the area into an
urban jungle.

David Bradley


[email protected] November 15th 05 01:15 PM

About West London Tram
 
David Bradley wrote:

London Buses Ltd in its publication "Cleaner Air for London - London Buses
leads the Way" estimated that the cost of health care which results from
diesel bus air pollution equates to an equivalent of €0.20 per km. A different
report prepared at the Roma Tre University in Rome suggested the cost as being
as high as €1.20 per km. Using either figure helps justify the investment in
new trolleybus systems because it indicates that installing the electrical
infrastructure would result in significant financial benefits in reduced
health care costs. Certainly this is how the new Rome trolleybus system came
about.


How? By coming up with a figure that is six times that of a comparable
city? Or is it the case that they aren't comparable cities?


No on-road transport scheme is going to reduce congestion, and any road based
public transport vehicle is going to have to spend a large part of its revenue
earning service stationary in traffic queues, in addition to the time spent at
stops picking up and setting down passengers, even with cash fare payment on
entry eliminated. In these circumstances trolleybuses win hands down in
respect of the ride quality, improved external environmental impact locally,
low energy consumption, identifiable operator commitment, level boarding with
100% level low floors, less maintenance costs and a longer life. Trolleybuses
also have a proven model shift appeal.


Not in Britain, they don't. And I see that you are running away with
the argument again, jumping form the issue of emissions to a set of
wider issues. However, now that you have raised them: Ride quality
difference is questionable; unless you have jumped back to emissions,
"external environmental impact" is less for a bus, as there is no
overhead wiring; energy consumption is open to varios arguments;
"identifiable operatyor commitment" can be provided in a number of
ways, including guided busways (NB: I am not advocating a guided
busway); buses can provide level boarding, and the need for 100% level
floors is question (Supplementary question: Where are trolleybuses in
service that have 100% level floors?); maintenance costs and vehicle
life are, once again, part of a wider cost/benefit argument. Also,
vehicle longevity might, nowadays, be seen as something likely to put
passengers off in the future. We live in an age of shiny new things,
and having vehicles replaced more frequently helps keep a modern image
(but obviously costs money).


In contrast diesel bendibuses are noisy, vibrating, fume-belching and
fuel-wasting monstrosities. They also have an image problem that is hard to
shake off for modal shift.


Most people would view a trolleybus as a bus.


The only hope of impacting at all on road traffic congestion in this area is
to improve the off-road public transport network (heavy rail, light rail and
if appropriate busways [preferably electric], and improve utilization of the
existing rail network. By all means tinker with congestion issues like
restricting certain vehicles on particular days and introducing benefits for
high occupancy vehicles [cars with 2 or more passengers] and anything else you
may car to think about but unless the Uxbridge Road becomes completely
pedestrianised, then any extra capacity will be quickly absorbed.


Proof positive that David is absolutely barking.


However, this thread is not about the merits of one type of bus against
another; it is more about the folly of building a tramway along the Uxbridge
Road corridor which, far from improving congestion problems, will actually
make things a lot worse and certainly change the character of the area into an
urban jungle.


For someone who is primarily arguing agains the tramway, you have put
an awful lot of emphasis on trolleybuses.


Colin Rosenstiel November 15th 05 08:18 PM

About West London Tram
 
In article .com,
() wrote:

Proof positive that David is absolutely barking.


Isn't that one trolleybus scheme that is quite likely to happen?

--
Colin Rosenstiel


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