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[email protected] September 10th 09 09:51 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 10:34:40 +0100
"Tim Fenton" wrote:
Dave Hill's London Blog concludes so, from recent comments and articles:


http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/davehil...on-london-publ
c-transport-fares


Boris potentially proving yet again that it is actually possibly to make
Ken Livingstone seem like a forward thinking intellectual in retrospect.
How many more years until we can vote this buffoon out?

B2003


Tom Barry September 10th 09 10:18 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
wrote:
On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 10:34:40 +0100
"Tim Fenton" wrote:
Dave Hill's London Blog concludes so, from recent comments and articles:


http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/davehil...on-london-publ
c-transport-fares


Boris potentially proving yet again that it is actually possibly to make
Ken Livingstone seem like a forward thinking intellectual in retrospect.


On public transport he pretty much was (things like the Overground and
ELL are related to his thinking on the matter a quarter of a century
ago, just as the Congestion Charge has its roots in his experience of
anti-roads protests in the early 1970s), although it's possible to
over-estimate his personal expertise in the matter. The big difference
is that he realised his limits and the return on investment of employing
competent staff to run it for him.

Boris appears to have no interest in the subject whatsoever (as can be
seen by appointing someone younger than me with no external interest
declarations other than 'Conservative Party' as his Transport Advisor,
although assuming that he'll do anything to avoid being beastly to
motorists is a fairly reasonable ground rule.

I'm pretty sure from all that's gone on that Boris actually dislikes
public transport on principle - he's still complaining about dirty bus
exhausts, for instance, completely oblivious to the Euro emission
standards in force and the negative air-quality impacts of diesel cars.
This is tabloid ranting comment column grade ignorance and failure to
see the bigger picture.

Tom

Mizter T September 10th 09 11:07 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

On Sep 10, 10:51*am, wrote:
On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 10:34:40 +0100

"Tim Fenton" wrote:
Dave Hill's London Blog concludes so, from recent comments and articles:


http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/davehil...oris-johnson-l...
c-transport-fares


Or via http://tinyurl.com/m53plb


Boris potentially proving yet again that it is actually possibly to make
Ken Livingstone seem like a forward thinking intellectual in retrospect.
How many more years until we can vote this buffoon out?


Afraid a forthcoming fare rise is no surprise. There is also the
electoral timetable to consider, as Paul C has pointed out in the past
- significant fare rises in January 2011 or 2012 will be too close to
the May 2012 Mayoral election.

Dave Hill refers to Boris saying "Why shouldn't I save up the good
news?" when pressed on the issue during yesterday's Mayor's Question
Time. I dare say the "good news" that Boris is keen to announce is
that agreement has finally been reached with the mainline TOCs that
Oyster Pay-as-you-go will be accepted across all National Rail routes
in London (though it's far from clear that the final deal has yet been
signed - last minute wrangling is quite possible) - the Mayor will
make a massive fanfare of this, and the hope will presumably be that
it takes the limelight whilst the fare rises are shoved backstage.

P.S. Here's the link to Walmar's Evening Standard article on the topic
(referred to by Dave Hill):
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standa...ils/article.do

Paul Scott September 10th 09 11:38 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
Mizter T wrote:
On Sep 10, 10:51 am, wrote:
On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 10:34:40 +0100

"Tim Fenton" wrote:
Dave Hill's London Blog concludes so, from recent comments and
articles:


http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/davehil...oris-johnson-l...
c-transport-fares


Or via http://tinyurl.com/m53plb


Boris potentially proving yet again that it is actually possibly to
make Ken Livingstone seem like a forward thinking intellectual in
retrospect. How many more years until we can vote this buffoon out?


Afraid a forthcoming fare rise is no surprise. There is also the
electoral timetable to consider, as Paul C has pointed out in the past
- significant fare rises in January 2011 or 2012 will be too close to
the May 2012 Mayoral election.

Dave Hill refers to Boris saying "Why shouldn't I save up the good
news?" when pressed on the issue during yesterday's Mayor's Question
Time. I dare say the "good news" that Boris is keen to announce is
that agreement has finally been reached with the mainline TOCs that
Oyster Pay-as-you-go will be accepted across all National Rail routes
in London (though it's far from clear that the final deal has yet been
signed - last minute wrangling is quite possible) - the Mayor will
make a massive fanfare of this, and the hope will presumably be that
it takes the limelight whilst the fare rises are shoved backstage.

The 'inflation + 1%', expected to be -0.4%, cannot cause a reduction in
individual PAYG fares anyway for the reasons discussed before, that single
fares aren't high enough and they only use whole 10p steps. So the best that
can be expected is a freeze.

In fact I expect most of the daily caps aren't high enough to go down
either, except perhaps the furthest extremities outside the basic 6 zones...

Paul S



Tom Barry September 10th 09 11:48 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
Paul Scott wrote:


The 'inflation + 1%', expected to be -0.4%, cannot cause a reduction in
individual PAYG fares anyway for the reasons discussed before, that single
fares aren't high enough and they only use whole 10p steps. So the best that
can be expected is a freeze.

In fact I expect most of the daily caps aren't high enough to go down
either, except perhaps the furthest extremities outside the basic 6 zones...

Paul S



Agreed, but it would be nice if someone looked at, say, last year's
increase and this years and made the resulting cumulative increase
approximate to (RPIlastyear+1)*(RPIthisyear+1).

However, I suspect what will happen is that the lot will go up 10p or
more. I've long speculated that we'll have at least a £1.40 single
Oyster PAYG bus fare by the time Boris has finished with us.

Still, it's one way of reducing the price differential with National
Rail PAYG, raise Tube prices to NR levels!

Tom

Mizter T September 10th 09 12:09 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

On Sep 10, 12:38*pm, "Paul Scott"
wrote:

[snip]

The 'inflation + 1%', expected to be -0.4%, cannot cause a reduction in
individual PAYG fares anyway for the reasons discussed before, that single
fares aren't high enough and they only use whole 10p steps. So the best that
can be expected is a freeze.

In fact I expect most of the daily caps aren't high enough to go down
either, except perhaps the furthest extremities outside the basic 6 zones....


All good and well, but my understanding is that TfL fares are not
subject to any regulatory regime as such - i.e. unlike National Rail
fares - so the whole forthcoming issue of enforced 'inflation-linked
decreases' (YKWIM!) doesn't apply, at least not to wholly TfL fares.

(The current Oyster price caps are of course set 50p below the quasi-
equivalent Day Travelcard price, though I wouldn't be entirely
surprised if post-January there are two caps - the present one at 50p
less than the Travelcard, plus a cap that includes NR travel and is
set at the same price as a Travelcard. We shall see...)

ticketyboo September 10th 09 03:09 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On Sep 10, 12:07*pm, Mizter T wrote:
Dave Hill refers to Boris saying "Why shouldn't I save up the good
news?" when pressed on the issue during yesterday's Mayor's Question
Time. I dare say the "good news" that Boris is keen to announce is
that agreement has finally been reached with the mainline TOCs that
Oyster Pay-as-you-go will be accepted across all National Rail routes
in London (though it's far from clear that the final deal has yet been
signed - last minute wrangling is quite possible) - the Mayor will
make a massive fanfare of this, and the hope will presumably be that
it takes the limelight whilst the fare rises are shoved backstage.

Yesterday at a technical group in London heard a person from ATOC say
that PAYG on rail in London is going ahead.


Mizter T September 10th 09 03:44 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

On Sep 10, 4:09*pm, ticketyboo wrote:

On Sep 10, 12:07*pm, Mizter T wrote:
Dave Hill refers to Boris saying "Why shouldn't I save up the good
news?" when pressed on the issue during yesterday's Mayor's Question
Time. I dare say the "good news" that Boris is keen to announce is
that agreement has finally been reached with the mainline TOCs that
Oyster Pay-as-you-go will be accepted across all National Rail routes
in London (though it's far from clear that the final deal has yet been
signed - last minute wrangling is quite possible) - the Mayor will
make a massive fanfare of this, and the hope will presumably be that
it takes the limelight whilst the fare rises are shoved backstage.


Yesterday at a technical group in London heard a person from ATOC say
that PAYG on rail in London is going ahead.


I'm in no doubt that it is - it's just a question of when. January
2010 is when it should go live (well, it should have happened ages ago
but that's another story), and I expect in all likelihood it will do -
it's just that there's the occasional hint that the TOCs are still
quibbling over some of the details.

Mizter T September 10th 09 07:51 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

On Sep 10, 7:17*pm, Paul Corfield wrote:

On Thu, 10 Sep 2009 04:07:55 -0700 (PDT), Mizter T
wrote:

On Sep 10, 10:51*am, wrote:


[snip]

Boris potentially proving yet again that it is actually possibly to make
Ken Livingstone seem like a forward thinking intellectual in retrospect.


neverwas[_2_] September 11th 09 08:29 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
Oh I can see the political risks but I don't think that it is
invincible. There are plenty of people who think kids should pay, that
they should walk to school and not use buses, that all kids are....


snip

If free travel for teenagers (or other children) were so clearly a "good
thing" I would expect it to be common in other large cities, in the UK
and elsewhere. Is it?

I have made no study of the question but happen to have noticed in
recent years that there is not free bus travel for unaccompanied
children in New York or Paris.

Anyone know the position in other cities for children and teens? Or was
it that Ken was the only one marching in step?

--
OR



Chris Read September 13th 09 01:42 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

"Paul Corfield" wrote:

While I understand the desire to make a political point on this issue I

really think they are all being
disingenuous by hinting that if they were in power that "of course"
fares would reduce by dint of the inflation figures earlier this year.
I suspect that faced with the reality of the TfL budget and forecasts
they might well decide differently.


Indeed.

As we are about to enter a period of high inflation, the idea of making
pricing policy on a 'rear view mirror' basis, against historic inflation
rates, is foolish in the extreme, and would be so whoever was running
London.

Chris






John B September 13th 09 02:32 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On Sep 13, 2:42*pm, "Chris Read" wrote:
"Paul Corfield" wrote:

* While I understand the desire to make a political point on this issue I
really think they are all being

disingenuous by hinting that if they were in power that "of course"
fares would reduce by dint of the inflation figures earlier this year.
I suspect that faced with the reality of the TfL budget and forecasts
they might well decide differently.


Indeed.

As we are about to enter a period of high inflation, the idea of making

^n't
pricing policy on a 'rear view mirror' basis, against historic inflation
rates, is foolish in the extreme, and would be so whoever was running
London.


Corrected for you.

--
John Band
john at johnband dot org
www.johnband.org

redcat September 13th 09 02:36 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
John B wrote:
On Sep 13, 2:42 pm, "Chris Read" wrote:
"Paul Corfield" wrote:

While I understand the desire to make a political point on this issue I

really think they are all being

disingenuous by hinting that if they were in power that "of course"
fares would reduce by dint of the inflation figures earlier this year.
I suspect that faced with the reality of the TfL budget and forecasts
they might well decide differently.

Indeed.

As we are about to enter a period of high inflation, the idea of making

^n't
pricing policy on a 'rear view mirror' basis, against historic inflation
rates, is foolish in the extreme, and would be so whoever was running
London.


Corrected for you.


Srsly, have fares ever gone down?

Neil Williams September 13th 09 03:18 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 10:36:05 -0400, redcat
wrote:

Srsly, have fares ever gone down?


London bus fares have, haven't they?

Neil

--
Neil Williams
Put my first name before the at to reply.

Mizter T September 13th 09 03:32 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 

On Sep 13, 4:18*pm, (Neil Williams)
wrote:

On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 10:36:05 -0400, redcat
wrote:

Srsly, have fares ever gone down?


London bus fares have, haven't they?


Yes. Oyster PAYG fares were £1 at the beginning of 2007, but then
dropped to 90p that September IIRC. To be blunt, this was a fairly
transparent electioneering gambit from Ken given the upcoming
elections in May 2008. The fare went back up to £1 in January 2009.

Looking at a longer term perspective, the introduction of the flat
fare for buses had the effect of cutting the price for a load of bus
journeys. Ten years ago I used to pay £1.20 to get into central London
on a bus - nowadays the same journey would of course cost £1 (though
one suspects not for much longer - hence the subject of this thread).

Colin McKenzie September 13th 09 07:24 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 15:32:27 +0100, John B wrote:

On Sep 13, 2:42*pm, "Chris Read" wrote:


As we are about to enter a period of high inflation, the idea of making

^n't
pricing policy on a 'rear view mirror' basis, against historic inflation
rates, is foolish in the extreme, and would be so whoever was running
London.


Corrected for you.


Sez you. I'd say Chris is a lot more likely to be right. Can you think of
an easier way for the government to reduce all this debt it's taken on?


Colin McKenzie


--
No-one has ever proved that cycle helmets make cycling any safer at the
population level, and anyway cycling is about as safe per mile as walking.
Make an informed choice - visit www.cyclehelmets.org.

Tom Barry September 13th 09 08:56 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
Mizter T wrote:
On Sep 13, 4:18 pm, (Neil Williams)
wrote:

On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 10:36:05 -0400, redcat
wrote:

Srsly, have fares ever gone down?

London bus fares have, haven't they?


Yes. Oyster PAYG fares were £1 at the beginning of 2007, but then
dropped to 90p that September IIRC. To be blunt, this was a fairly
transparent electioneering gambit from Ken given the upcoming
elections in May 2008. The fare went back up to £1 in January 2009.


Given inflation over the intervening period, the fact that they're £1
now and were £1 from early 2000 in central London is a cut, too.

External to central London they were 70p in 2000, so that I suspect has
gone up even allowing for inflation.

What is, unfortunately, true is that anyone comparing London with, say,
Birmingham is going to conclude that bus fares in London are too low
(mind you, rail fares in Birmingham are lower, the last trip I made
across the West Midlands was £1.50 from Moseley to New Street by bus and
£1.50 from New Street to Wolverhampton by train).

Tom

Jonathan Harris September 15th 09 07:12 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On 13 Sep, 21:56, Tom Barry wrote:
Mizter T wrote:
On Sep 13, 4:18 pm, (Neil Williams)
wrote:


On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 10:36:05 -0400, redcat
wrote:


Srsly, have fares ever gone down?
London bus fares have, haven't they?


Yes. Oyster PAYG fares were £1 at the beginning of 2007, but then
dropped to 90p that September IIRC. To be blunt, this was a fairly
transparent electioneering gambit from Ken given the upcoming
elections in May 2008. The fare went back up to £1 in January 2009.


Given inflation over the intervening period, the fact that they're £1
now and were £1 from early 2000 in central London is a cut, too.

External to central London they were 70p in 2000, so that I suspect has
gone up even allowing for inflation.

What is, unfortunately, true is that anyone comparing London with, say,
Birmingham is going to conclude that bus fares in London are too low
(mind you, rail fares in Birmingham are lower, the last trip I made
across the West Midlands was £1.50 from Moseley to New Street by bus and
£1.50 from New Street to Wolverhampton by train).

Tom


The train being after 1830? In Manchester and Birmingham (also
Newcastle on the Metro), there are special reduced evening fares to
encourage travel.

Jonathan


[email protected] September 18th 09 12:48 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
In article
,
(Mizter T) wrote:

On Sep 13, 4:18*pm, (Neil Williams)
wrote:

On Sun, 13 Sep 2009 10:36:05 -0400, redcat
wrote:

Srsly, have fares ever gone down?


London bus fares have, haven't they?


Yes. Oyster PAYG fares were £1 at the beginning of 2007, but then
dropped to 90p that September IIRC. To be blunt, this was a fairly
transparent electioneering gambit from Ken given the upcoming
elections in May 2008. The fare went back up to £1 in January 2009.

Looking at a longer term perspective, the introduction of the flat
fare for buses had the effect of cutting the price for a load of bus
journeys. Ten years ago I used to pay £1.20 to get into central London
on a bus - nowadays the same journey would of course cost £1 (though
one suspects not for much longer - hence the subject of this thread).


You young people won't remember Fares Fair in 1981/2. Fares were cut to
10/20/30/40p for 1 to 4 zones. Even after the court challenge and the
subsequent increase to 20/40/60/80p they were cheaper than they had been
before for most journeys.

--
Colin Rosenstiel

Walter Briscoe September 18th 09 01:40 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
In message of Fri, 18
Sep 2009 07:48:49 in uk.transport.london,
writes

[snip]

You young people won't remember Fares Fair in 1981/2. Fares were cut to


I DO remember and look forward to a Freedom Pass next year.

10/20/30/40p for 1 to 4 zones. Even after the court challenge and the
subsequent increase to 20/40/60/80p they were cheaper than they had been
before for most journeys.


I have just failed to find a URL describing Fares Fair in detail.
I DO remember even cheaper Sunday fares from Zone 1E to Epping Forest.

These days, I think cheaper Sunday fares would be a bad thing as the
zone 1 load levels on the restricted network are fairly high.

I suppose planned engineering closures won't happen during the Olympics.
--
Walter Briscoe

MIG September 18th 09 02:08 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On 18 Sep, 14:40, Walter Briscoe wrote:
In message of Fri, 18
Sep 2009 07:48:49 in uk.transport.london,
writes

[snip]

You young people won't remember Fares Fair in 1981/2. Fares were cut to


I DO remember and look forward to a Freedom Pass next year.

10/20/30/40p for 1 to 4 zones. Even after the court challenge and the
subsequent increase to 20/40/60/80p they were cheaper than they had been
before for most journeys.


I have just failed to find a URL describing Fares Fair in detail.
I DO remember even cheaper Sunday fares from Zone 1E to Epping Forest.

These days, I think cheaper Sunday fares would be a bad thing as the
zone 1 load levels on the restricted network are fairly high.

I suppose planned engineering closures won't happen during the Olympics.
--
Walter Briscoe


What was the name of the later scheme to cut the fares that came a
year or two after Fares Fair?

I don't know how that was funded.

Roland Perry September 18th 09 04:07 PM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
In message , at 14:40:56 on Fri, 18
Sep 2009, Walter Briscoe remarked:

I suppose planned engineering closures won't happen during the Olympics.


I dunno. Maybe someone will decide it's an ideal time to close the
Jubilee for a track upgrade :)
--
Roland Perry

MIG September 19th 09 08:46 AM

London - Looks Like Fares Going Up
 
On 18 Sep, 21:00, Paul Corfield wrote:
On Fri, 18 Sep 2009 07:08:38 -0700 (PDT), MIG

wrote:
On 18 Sep, 14:40, Walter Briscoe wrote:
In message of Fri, 18
Sep 2009 07:48:49 in uk.transport.london,
writes


[snip]


You young people won't remember Fares Fair in 1981/2. Fares were cut to
10/20/30/40p for 1 to 4 zones. Even after the court challenge and the
subsequent increase to 20/40/60/80p they were cheaper than they had been
before for most journeys.


Yes I do remember - I have the leaflet sitting on a shelf beside the PC.

I have just failed to find a URL describing Fares Fair in detail.
I DO remember even cheaper Sunday fares from Zone 1E to Epping Forest.


Sunday fares inside Greater London were 20p flat fare. All fares on
sections outside Greater London actually increased when Fares Fair
commenced.

What was the name of the later scheme to cut the fares that came a
year or two after Fares Fair?


"Just the ticket" was what it was called and it started on 4 October
1983. It also launched Travelcard and the full zonal system. I have the
leaflet for that too!


Ah yes of course. I should have remembered that.



I don't know how that was funded.


Nor do I. My guess is that some subsidy was added but it was the
creation of Travelcard that caused a huge boost to sales and usage. The
growth was so strong that any reduction in single fares only required a
short term fillip from subsidy. Moving towards a much simpler system
also reduced costs by shifting transactions towards seasons thus
reducing cash transactions on bus and allowing more automation on LUL.
The increase in pre-purchased tickets also allowed a further push
towards one man operation on the bus network. The introduction of UTS
also reduced the need for manual ticket inspection on LUL in the central
area and allowed more machine based transactions.
--
Paul C


On the face of it, it looks ironic that the onboard self-service
ticket machines disappeared for good around the same time. But of
course, it isn't really, because it wasn't equivalent to ticket
machines at LU stations. The idea of a queue of people, while the bus
waits, feeding exact coins into a machine that took up the space of a
few seats never made much sense to me, but the real change was the
advance purchase of various passes.

The "Red Bus Rover" wasn't available in shops I don't think, but the
early 1980s scratch-off bus pass was.


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