London Transport (uk.transport.london) Discussion of all forms of transport in London.

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1   Report Post  
Old July 12th 05, 03:54 PM posted to alt.conspiracy,uk.transport.london
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Jul 2005
Posts: 16
Default 2 is more likely (was London bombs - the work of ONE man?)



Roland Perry wrote:
In message .com, at
07:31:16 on Tue, 12 Jul 2005, remarked:

Supposedly it is every 2 to 4 minutes at that time of day.


On the Circle, I doubt it. Or did the question actually refer to any
kind of train on the line?

There is a
schedule, but the important point is the gap between trains. Assuming
30 seconds in the station you might actually have a 1 in 4 chance of
that happening. I'm not suggesting the trains have to both be stopped
at the same time, merely one in the station when the other is
approaching.


When asking questions about things like this it's important to be
precise!

If they were both stopped you might not have time to
plant bomb one, cross the platform and plant bomb two before the doors
closed.


So perhaps the wrong question was asked? If the question was "how long
before any train leaves in the opposite direction" then 2-3 minutes
would be a sensible answer.

The first two bombs were in the middle of the trains (3rd and 2nd car)
so I doubt anyone was hanging out at the end of the platform.


Which cars exactly? If it was (say) 3rd and 5th [or 2nd and 6th], then
that would suggest the same position on the platform.


according to BBC eastbound was 2nd car and westbound was also 2nd car,
although the police said floor of 3rd car.


Is it something relatively common? If it is
then waiting for such an occurance to start the process would minimize
the time planting the first two bombs and gives you as much as 10
minutes before you have to be at the Picadilly Line.

I would expect it to be pretty random. You might find the two trains
there, or you might easily have to wait 150% of the published interval.


I agree, that would be why I suggest showing up around 8:30 or so and
waiting. If you have trains every 4 minutes and a 1 in 5 chance of
this happening,


I think we have pretty much established that the original question was
wrong.

you will certainly catch a break before 9:00


And will have blown yourself up by 8.51 ? (If all the bombs had fuses
preset to that time).


I thought we were talking statistically here. If you have 5 to 7
trains passing in a given direction over the course of half an hour and
a 1 in 5 chance that you will have trains in opposite directions
converging on the platform, then at SOME POINT during the half hour you
are virtually guaranteed of this happening at least once.

Given the time of detonation and the relative distances from KXSP, it
looks like that convergence would have to occur around 8:38 to 8:40


--
Roland Perry


  #2   Report Post  
Old July 12th 05, 04:22 PM posted to alt.conspiracy,uk.transport.london
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Aug 2003
Posts: 10,125
Default 2 is more likely (was London bombs - the work of ONE man?)

In message . com, at
08:54:40 on Tue, 12 Jul 2005, remarked:
If they were both stopped you might not have time to
plant bomb one, cross the platform and plant bomb two before the doors
closed.


So perhaps the wrong question was asked? If the question was "how long
before any train leaves in the opposite direction" then 2-3 minutes
would be a sensible answer.

The first two bombs were in the middle of the trains (3rd and 2nd car)
so I doubt anyone was hanging out at the end of the platform.


Which cars exactly? If it was (say) 3rd and 5th [or 2nd and 6th], then
that would suggest the same position on the platform.


according to BBC eastbound was 2nd car and westbound was also 2nd car,
although the police said floor of 3rd car.


So not in the same place "across" the island platform. To place one on a
2nd car and then the other on a second car would mean you'd have to
cross the island and then walk three or four cars along.

As an addition piece of information: the only access to the platforms
from the outside world is roughly in the centre of the train, because
the "island" is very large (with a booking office and other things in
the middle) and the way it's laid out you have to go through a ticket
barrier that's about halfway down, and between, the platforms. Just to
complicate things, you exit [but not enter] through barriers at the
eastern end of the island.

Is it something relatively common? If it is
then waiting for such an occurance to start the process would minimize
the time planting the first two bombs and gives you as much as 10
minutes before you have to be at the Picadilly Line.

I would expect it to be pretty random. You might find the two trains
there, or you might easily have to wait 150% of the published interval.

I agree, that would be why I suggest showing up around 8:30 or so and
waiting. If you have trains every 4 minutes and a 1 in 5 chance of
this happening,


I think we have pretty much established that the original question was
wrong.

you will certainly catch a break before 9:00


And will have blown yourself up by 8.51 ? (If all the bombs had fuses
preset to that time).


I thought we were talking statistically here. If you have 5 to 7
trains passing in a given direction over the course of half an hour and
a 1 in 5 chance that you will have trains in opposite directions
converging on the platform, then at SOME POINT during the half hour you
are virtually guaranteed of this happening at least once.


There are more trains than that if you allow the use of Metropolitan and
Hammersmith/City trains as well as Circle. They all share the same pair
of platforms. As for the statistics, then if you want strictly *Circle*
line trains, then sod's law says it may never happen. But if you want
*any* trains, it will be happening every few minutes.

Although I'm not sure *why* the trains have to leave in opposite
directions at the same time for the bomber's plan to succeed. Perhaps
you can explain why you think this is the case. Also, whether or not the
timers were set to be 8.50 *before* the bomber knew which trains they
were going to be put on.

Given the time of detonation and the relative distances from KXSP, it
looks like that convergence would have to occur around 8:38 to 8:40


Working backwards, that seems to make sense. But would it have mattered
if one of the trains had been 3 minutes closer or further away at 8.50?
--
Roland Perry
  #3   Report Post  
Old July 12th 05, 04:48 PM posted to alt.conspiracy,uk.transport.london
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Jul 2005
Posts: 14
Default Police say 4 (was 2 is more likely (was London bombs - the work of ONE man?)

They are claiming 4 guys based on CCTV ... which is odd...why have 4
when you are going to do 3 bombs in the Underground? Why have a guy in
the Underground who will be blowing up a bus later?

  #5   Report Post  
Old July 13th 05, 08:33 AM posted to uk.transport.london
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Aug 2003
Posts: 10,125
Default 2 is more likely (was London bombs - the work of ONE man?)

In message , at
21:31:00 on Tue, 12 Jul 2005, Colin Rosenstiel
remarked:
A factor not to ignore is that the are between the platforms isn't all
open at King's Cross so not exactly cross-platform at the East end of the
Met platforms.


Indeed, and as I described at some length earlier. I was pretty sure the
person describing the theory thought it was a simple island platform.

But this is all academic if, as the police have said today, the explosions
were all caused by suicide bombers.


Yes, but before that news broke, it was still worthwhile trying to set
the scene correctly. The theorists had some very strange ideas about the
layout at the various parts of the KX complex.
--
Roland Perry


  #7   Report Post  
Old July 13th 05, 06:08 PM posted to uk.transport.london
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity at LondonBanter: Jul 2003
Posts: 464
Default 2 is more likely (was London bombs - the work of ONE man?)

In article ,
Colin Rosenstiel wrote:
In article m,
(Roland Perry) wrote:
Yes, but before that news broke, it was still worthwhile trying to set
the scene correctly. The theorists had some very strange ideas about
the layout at the various parts of the KX complex.


Can you get treatment for that?


Not on the NHS.


--
Mike Bristow - really a very good driver

Reply
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules

Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
London Crossrail likely to work any better than Thameslink? e27002 aurora London Transport 32 January 29th 15 08:20 AM
CYCLISTS THREE TIMES MORE LIKELY TO GET INJURED ON BENDY BUS ROUTE- POPE Colin Rosenstiel London Transport 50 June 18th 07 11:16 PM
More bombs? Simon Lane London Transport 160 August 14th 05 04:40 PM
LONDON BOMBS COVER-UP: BOMBS WERE UNDER TRAINS Terrorism London London Transport 4 July 31st 05 03:34 PM
LONDON BOMBS COVER-UP: BOMBS WERE UNDER TRAINS Terrorism London London Transport 0 July 25th 05 10:40 AM


All times are GMT. The time now is 04:42 AM.

Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004-2025 London Banter.
The comments are property of their posters.
 

About Us

"It's about London Transport"

 

Copyright © 2017