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#11
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On Oct 22, 12:23*am, wrote:
"Serious incidents are defined by TfL as those where a cyclist may have required treatment, including in hospital. There was one serious incident involving a cyclist in each of the years 2005/06 and 2006/07, and two in 2007/08." http://www.london.gov.uk/assembly/as...t15/minutes/wr itten_answers.pdf In other words, the data collated by TfL and accepted by the mayor clearly shows that bendy buses are not dangerous for cyclists. Those figures read dangerous to me. How many bendies are there and how many accidents involving other buses are there, and how many of them are there? Hmm. There were 819 serious cyclist accidents in 07/08, so bendies are responsible for a whopping 0.25% of the total. http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standa...les/article.do Breaking accident rates down into bendies versus regular buses doesn't really make sense, as a) the figures are so low they'll be massively skewed by noise and b) bendies are used on the busiest routes in the centre of town. I hate bendies because they are just too long to mix with other traffic. Based on what evidence? -- John Band john at johnband dot org www.johnband.org |
#12
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On 22 Oct, 00:08, John B wrote:
I'm deeply sceptical, although it's possible that the people you spoke to were idiots. In real life, bendies provide a much better service than other buses on a given route. He did say they "weren't very popular". What he didn't say was whether those same people thought replacing them with normal double deckers would fix anything. U |
#13
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On Oct 22, 12:38*am, Mr Thant
wrote: I'm deeply sceptical, although it's possible that the people you spoke to were idiots. In real life, bendies provide a much better service than other buses on a given route. He did say they "weren't very popular". What he didn't say was whether those same people thought replacing them with normal double deckers would fix anything. Fair point, although 'popular' only has any relevance at all when compared to plausible alternatives (so if bendies weren't very popular compared to, say, gold-plated Rolls-Royces, or double deckers that weren't rammed so full you'd need to wait for three to pass before you could get on one, then that's entirely irrelevant). I lived in Finsbury Park when the 29 got bendified. It went from being a route where you'd have two or more double deckers go past you in the morning too full to stop, to a bus which - although always well- loaded, and relatively rarely endowed with many seats - you could still always get on. Compared to that fact, none of the other criteria matter in the slightest. -- John Band john at johnband dot org www.johnband.org |
#14
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On 22 Oct, 00:47, John B wrote:
Fair point, although 'popular' only has any relevance at all when compared to plausible alternatives Well the comparison point is the non-bendy routes that people use, which generally are more pleasant. The mistake is to think that the bendy routes would suddenly be more pleasant if only they were converted to double decker, which as you say, is not the case. U |
#15
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#16
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On Oct 22, 1:13*am, wrote:
In article , (John B) wrote: I hate bendies because they are just too long to mix with other traffic. Based on what evidence? Trying to get along Euston Road from King's Cross station to turn left into Judd Street before and after the 73 became a bendy route. Observation of the Cambridge Circus junction. And experience of a whole load of other blocked junctions, blocked crossings and uncomfortable journeys. I don't understand why people's dislike, based on personal experience, requires statistical evidence (any more than my dislike of brussels sprouts requires statistical evidence) or should be bizarrely dismissed as the product some kind of dodgy campaign. (No doubt if Boris ever mentions Pendolinos, it will retrospectively explain my hatred of them from the first time I travelled in one.) |
#17
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On Oct 22, 8:20*am, MIG wrote:
On Oct 22, 1:13*am, wrote: In article , (John B) wrote: I hate bendies because they are just too long to mix with other traffic. Based on what evidence? Trying to get along Euston Road from King's Cross station to turn left into Judd Street before and after the 73 became a bendy route. Observation of the Cambridge Circus junction. And experience of a whole load of other blocked junctions, blocked crossings and uncomfortable journeys. Its a fair point, but how is that going to improve when they have to run 40% more buses to get even vaguely the same capacity on the routes? Well the comparison point is the non-bendy routes that people use, which generally are more pleasant. The mistake is to think that the bendy routes would suddenly be more pleasant if only they were converted to double decker, which as you say, is not the case. This to me is the pertinent point that always seems to get lost in the noise of the London Rags. The majority of REGULAR commuters who use the bendy routes (a group that includes my Missus who uses the 38) are, in my experience, more than happy with them and dreading the inevitable change. They may not be perfect but they are decidedly better than the full double deckers that used to thunder past the bus stops. Obviously the plural of "anecdote" is not "data" but, as the last Travelwatch piece on the matter pointed out, actually speaking to those who use the services regularly wouldn't be a bad place to start if you're trying to get a fair assessment of their success (or failure). Quite frankly I tend to find (not here, but in general) that a lot of the criticism the bendies get comes from people who've never even been on one (let alone used them regularly), and whose vision of how London buses should be involves Butler driving a Routemaster with Blakey hanging off the back. |
#18
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wrote:
In article Those figures read dangerous to me. How many bendies are there and how many accidents involving other buses are there, and how many of them are there? 339 in intensive daily service, many 24 hours a day, so as John points out, given the tiny number of serious incidents there's a large margin for error - one cyclist killed by a bendy tomorrow would skew the figures enormously, which in itself suggest they aren't dangerous. The death toll of cyclists rose last year to 19, incidentally. Lorries seem to be the big killers. According to TfL: "Every year, more than half of all cyclist deaths on London's roads follow a collision with a goods vehicle." "In 2006, nine of the 19 cyclists who died on London's roads were involved in a collision with a goods vehicle. Provisional data from the Metropolitan Police Service for 2007 indicates that nine out of the 16 cyclists who died on London's roads last year were involved in a collision with a goods vehicle." http://www.tfl.gov.uk/corporate/medi...hive/7695.aspx Which is more dangerous, a type of vehicle that kills nearly ten cyclists a year or one that hasn't killed anyone in six years? The bendy replacement plans currently available*, apart from being expensive, result in far more buses on the street. I don't think the figures of accidents per million miles are adjusted for bus capacity, in which case the replacements are actually likely to have more accidents purely because of the increased mileage (along with using more fuel and employing more drivers and generally costing more to operate). The main point is still 'who told Boris they squished cyclists, or did he just make it up?'. Tom * 3 for 2 replacement with 12m single deckers on the 507/521 Red Arrows, 7 for 5 replacement with double deckers on the 38. One of the Red Arrow routes would have something insane like a bus timetabled every 120 seconds to keep capacity up. I'm half-convinced they're drawing up the plans to show Boris his ideas are wrong, in a Serpell Report kind of way. |
#19
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On 22 Oct, 10:56, Tom Barry wrote:
wrote: In article Those figures read dangerous to me. How many bendies are there and how many accidents involving other buses are there, and how many of them are there? 339 in intensive daily service, many 24 hours a day, so as John points out, given the tiny number of serious incidents there's a large margin for error - one cyclist killed by a bendy tomorrow would skew the figures enormously, which in itself suggest they aren't dangerous. The death toll of cyclists rose last year to 19, incidentally. *Lorries seem to be the big killers. *According to TfL: "Every year, more than half of all cyclist deaths on London's roads follow a collision with a goods vehicle." "In 2006, nine of the 19 cyclists who died on London's roads were involved in a collision with a goods vehicle. Provisional data from the Metropolitan Police Service for 2007 indicates that nine out of the 16 cyclists who died on London's roads last year were involved in a collision with a goods vehicle." http://www.tfl.gov.uk/corporate/medi...hive/7695.aspx Which is more dangerous, a type of vehicle that kills nearly ten cyclists a year or one that hasn't killed anyone in six years? The bendy replacement plans currently available*, apart from being expensive, result in far more buses on the street. *I don't think the figures of accidents per million miles are adjusted for bus capacity, in which case the replacements are actually likely to have more accidents purely because of the increased mileage (along with using more fuel and employing more drivers and generally costing more to operate). The main point is still 'who told Boris they squished cyclists, or did he just make it up?'. The vehicle that collides isn't necessarily the one that caused the collision. Maybe overtaking bendys puts cyclists in the path of lorries. Maybe people who have to walk in the middle of the road when the crossing is blocked by a bendy get hit by a motorbike. |
#20
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On 22 Oct, 10:54, wrote:
On Oct 22, 8:20*am, MIG wrote: On Oct 22, 1:13*am, wrote: In article , (John B) wrote: I hate bendies because they are just too long to mix with other traffic. Based on what evidence? Trying to get along Euston Road from King's Cross station to turn left into Judd Street before and after the 73 became a bendy route. Observation of the Cambridge Circus junction. And experience of a whole load of other blocked junctions, blocked crossings and uncomfortable journeys. Its a fair point, but how is that going to improve when they have to run 40% more buses to get even vaguely the same capacity on the routes? Well the comparison point is the non-bendy routes that people use, which generally are more pleasant. The mistake is to think that the bendy routes would suddenly be more pleasant if only they were converted to double decker, which as you say, is not the case. This to me is the pertinent point that always seems to get lost in the noise of the London Rags. The majority of REGULAR commuters who use the bendy routes (a group that includes my Missus who uses the 38) are, in my experience, more than happy with them and dreading the inevitable change. They may not be perfect but they are decidedly better than the full double deckers that used to thunder past the bus stops. Obviously the plural of "anecdote" is not "data" but, as the last Travelwatch piece on the matter pointed out, actually speaking to those who use the services regularly wouldn't be a bad place to start if you're trying to get a fair assessment of their success (or failure). Quite frankly I tend to find (not here, but in general) that a lot of the criticism the bendies get comes from people who've never even been on one (let alone used them regularly), and whose vision of how London buses should be involves Butler driving a Routemaster with Blakey hanging off the back.- Hide quoted text - Travelling between Trafalgar Square and Camden Town is better on a 24 than on a 29. I know people who let the 29 go in the hope that a 24 will turn up, and I've done so myself at times. Similarly where there is a choice of 36/436 or 53/453 etc. |
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